American Century One Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.70

AAAOX Fund  USD 9.70  0.05  0.52%   
American Century's future price is the expected price of American Century instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Century One performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Century Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Century Correlation, American Century Hype Analysis, American Century Volatility, American Century History as well as American Century Performance.
  
Please specify American Century's target price for which you would like American Century odds to be computed.

American Century Target Price Odds to finish over 9.70

The tendency of American Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.70 90 days 9.70 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Century to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This American Century One probability density function shows the probability of American Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Century has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Century average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Century One will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. American Century One is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   American Century Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Century

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Century One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Century's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Century in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.269.7010.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.239.6710.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.339.7710.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.619.679.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Century. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Century's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Century's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Century One.

American Century Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Century is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Century's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Century One, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Century within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

American Century Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Century for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Century One can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 10.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

American Century Technical Analysis

American Century's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Century One. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Century Predictive Forecast Models

American Century's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Century's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Century's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Century One

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Century for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Century One help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 10.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Check out American Century Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Century Correlation, American Century Hype Analysis, American Century Volatility, American Century History as well as American Century Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for American Mutual Fund analysis

When running American Century's price analysis, check to measure American Century's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Century is operating at the current time. Most of American Century's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Century's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Century's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Century to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.