Addex Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.28

ADXN Stock  USD 10.28  0.39  3.94%   
Addex Therapeutics' future price is the expected price of Addex Therapeutics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Addex Therapeutics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Addex Therapeutics Backtesting, Addex Therapeutics Valuation, Addex Therapeutics Correlation, Addex Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Addex Therapeutics Volatility, Addex Therapeutics History as well as Addex Therapeutics Performance.
To learn how to invest in Addex Stock, please use our How to Invest in Addex Therapeutics guide.
  
At this time, Addex Therapeutics' Price to Book Value is very stable as compared to the past year. As of the 28th of February 2024, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 2.36, while Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (31.61). Please specify Addex Therapeutics' target price for which you would like Addex Therapeutics odds to be computed.

Addex Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 10.28

The tendency of Addex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.28 90 days 10.28 
about 12.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Addex Therapeutics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.98 (This Addex Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Addex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Addex Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.8279, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Addex Therapeutics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Addex Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Addex Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Addex Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Addex Therapeutics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.5810.3317.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.418.1614.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.999.7416.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0810.4210.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Addex Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Addex Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Addex Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Addex Therapeutics.

Addex Therapeutics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Addex Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Addex Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Addex Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Addex Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.83
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.30
σ
Overall volatility
2.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Addex Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Addex Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Addex Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Addex Therapeutics is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Addex Therapeutics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Addex Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M.
Addex Therapeutics currently holds about 8.81 M in cash with (10.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.4.
Addex Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in Addex Therapeutics Ltd Increases By 222.2

Addex Therapeutics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Addex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Addex Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Addex Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.2 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Addex Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Addex Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Addex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Addex Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Addex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Addex Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models

Addex Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Addex Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Addex Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Addex Therapeutics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Addex Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Addex Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Addex Therapeutics is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Addex Therapeutics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Addex Therapeutics has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M.
Addex Therapeutics currently holds about 8.81 M in cash with (10.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.4.
Addex Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in Addex Therapeutics Ltd Increases By 222.2
When determining whether Addex Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Addex Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Addex Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Addex Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Addex Therapeutics Backtesting, Addex Therapeutics Valuation, Addex Therapeutics Correlation, Addex Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Addex Therapeutics Volatility, Addex Therapeutics History as well as Addex Therapeutics Performance.
To learn how to invest in Addex Stock, please use our How to Invest in Addex Therapeutics guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Addex Stock analysis

When running Addex Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Addex Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Addex Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Addex Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Addex Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Addex Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Addex Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Addex Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Addex Therapeutics. If investors know Addex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Addex Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(20.42)
Revenue Per Share
3.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
(0.75)
Return On Equity
(1.91)
The market value of Addex Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Addex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Addex Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Addex Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Addex Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Addex Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Addex Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Addex Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Addex Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.