Lord Abbett Alpha Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 21.94

ALFRX Fund  USD 21.94  0.06  0.27%   
Lord Abbett's future price is the expected price of Lord Abbett instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lord Abbett Alpha performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lord Abbett Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lord Abbett Correlation, Lord Abbett Hype Analysis, Lord Abbett Volatility, Lord Abbett History as well as Lord Abbett Performance.
  
Please specify Lord Abbett's target price for which you would like Lord Abbett odds to be computed.

Lord Abbett Target Price Odds to finish over 21.94

The tendency of Lord Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.94 90 days 21.94 
about 88.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lord Abbett to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.56 (This Lord Abbett Alpha probability density function shows the probability of Lord Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.39 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lord Abbett will likely underperform. Additionally Lord Abbett Alpha has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Lord Abbett Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lord Abbett

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lord Abbett Alpha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lord Abbett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0021.9422.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4120.3524.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3521.2822.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.8522.9624.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lord Abbett. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lord Abbett's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lord Abbett's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lord Abbett Alpha.

Lord Abbett Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lord Abbett is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lord Abbett's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lord Abbett Alpha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lord Abbett within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Lord Abbett Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lord Abbett for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lord Abbett Alpha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Lord Abbett Alpha holds 99.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Lord Abbett Technical Analysis

Lord Abbett's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lord Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lord Abbett Alpha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lord Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lord Abbett Predictive Forecast Models

Lord Abbett's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lord Abbett's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lord Abbett's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lord Abbett Alpha

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lord Abbett for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lord Abbett Alpha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Lord Abbett Alpha holds 99.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Lord Abbett Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lord Abbett Correlation, Lord Abbett Hype Analysis, Lord Abbett Volatility, Lord Abbett History as well as Lord Abbett Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lord Abbett's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lord Abbett is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lord Abbett's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.