Agorainc Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.52
| API Stock | USD 2.72 0.04 1.45% |
Closest to current price AgoraInc long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
AgoraInc |
AgoraInc Target Price Odds to finish over 2.52
The tendency of AgoraInc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 2.52 in 90 days |
| 2.72 | 90 days | 2.52 | about 74.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgoraInc to stay above $ 2.52 in 90 days from now is about 74.12 (This AgoraInc probability density function shows the probability of AgoraInc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AgoraInc price to stay between $ 2.52 and its current price of $2.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.29 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AgoraInc will likely underperform. Additionally AgoraInc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. AgoraInc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AgoraInc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgoraInc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AgoraInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AgoraInc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgoraInc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgoraInc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgoraInc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgoraInc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
AgoraInc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgoraInc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgoraInc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AgoraInc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AgoraInc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 141.54 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (87.22 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 99.42 M. | |
| AgoraInc has about 641.16 M in cash with (13.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AgoraInc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SURVEY Consumers Want More Live Interactive Shopping Events |
AgoraInc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AgoraInc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AgoraInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AgoraInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.7 M |
AgoraInc Technical Analysis
AgoraInc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgoraInc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgoraInc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgoraInc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AgoraInc Predictive Forecast Models
AgoraInc's time-series forecasting models is one of many AgoraInc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgoraInc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AgoraInc
Checking the ongoing alerts about AgoraInc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgoraInc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AgoraInc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AgoraInc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 141.54 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (87.22 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 99.42 M. | |
| AgoraInc has about 641.16 M in cash with (13.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AgoraInc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: SURVEY Consumers Want More Live Interactive Shopping Events |
Check out AgoraInc Backtesting, AgoraInc Valuation, AgoraInc Correlation, AgoraInc Hype Analysis, AgoraInc Volatility, AgoraInc History as well as AgoraInc Performance. For more detail on how to invest in AgoraInc Stock please use our How to Invest in AgoraInc guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for AgoraInc Stock analysis
When running AgoraInc's price analysis, check to measure AgoraInc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AgoraInc is operating at the current time. Most of AgoraInc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AgoraInc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AgoraInc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AgoraInc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AgoraInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AgoraInc. If investors know AgoraInc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AgoraInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.88) | Revenue Per Share 1.421 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of AgoraInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AgoraInc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AgoraInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AgoraInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AgoraInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AgoraInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AgoraInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AgoraInc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AgoraInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.