Brookfield Business Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.44

BBU Stock  USD 19.44  0.10  0.52%   
Brookfield Business' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Brookfield Business Partners. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Brookfield Business based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Brookfield Business Partners over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $17.5 is a CALL option contract on Brookfield Business' common stock with a strick price of 17.5 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 25 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $4.5. The implied volatility as of the 22nd of April is 34.74. View All Brookfield options

Closest to current price Brookfield long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Brookfield Business' future price is the expected price of Brookfield Business instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brookfield Business Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brookfield Business Backtesting, Brookfield Business Valuation, Brookfield Business Correlation, Brookfield Business Hype Analysis, Brookfield Business Volatility, Brookfield Business History as well as Brookfield Business Performance.
  
At this time, Brookfield Business' Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.07 in 2024, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 0.67 in 2024. Please specify Brookfield Business' target price for which you would like Brookfield Business odds to be computed.

Brookfield Business Target Price Odds to finish over 19.44

The tendency of Brookfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.44 90 days 19.44 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookfield Business to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Brookfield Business Partners probability density function shows the probability of Brookfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brookfield Business will likely underperform. Additionally Brookfield Business Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Brookfield Business Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brookfield Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookfield Business. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookfield Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8719.5021.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5023.5025.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.3719.0020.63
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.2126.6029.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brookfield Business. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brookfield Business' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brookfield Business' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brookfield Business.

Brookfield Business Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookfield Business is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookfield Business' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookfield Business Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookfield Business within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.68
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Brookfield Business Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookfield Business for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookfield Business can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brookfield Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of March 2024 Brookfield Business paid $ 0.0465 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Bcp Gp Ltd of Brookfield Business at 2.0347 subject to Rule 16b-3

Brookfield Business Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookfield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookfield Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookfield Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Brookfield Business Technical Analysis

Brookfield Business' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookfield Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookfield Business Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookfield Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brookfield Business Predictive Forecast Models

Brookfield Business' time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookfield Business' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookfield Business' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brookfield Business

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookfield Business for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookfield Business help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brookfield Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 28th of March 2024 Brookfield Business paid $ 0.0465 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Bcp Gp Ltd of Brookfield Business at 2.0347 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Brookfield Business is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Brookfield Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Brookfield Business Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Brookfield Business Partners Stock:
Check out Brookfield Business Backtesting, Brookfield Business Valuation, Brookfield Business Correlation, Brookfield Business Hype Analysis, Brookfield Business Volatility, Brookfield Business History as well as Brookfield Business Performance.
Note that the Brookfield Business information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Brookfield Business' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Brookfield Stock analysis

When running Brookfield Business' price analysis, check to measure Brookfield Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookfield Business is operating at the current time. Most of Brookfield Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookfield Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookfield Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookfield Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brookfield Business' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brookfield Business. If investors know Brookfield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brookfield Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.145
Dividend Share
0.25
Earnings Share
6.49
Revenue Per Share
253.838
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Brookfield Business is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brookfield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brookfield Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brookfield Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brookfield Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brookfield Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brookfield Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brookfield Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brookfield Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.