Belden Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 95.15

BDC Stock  USD 95.15  1.13  1.20%   
Belden's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Belden Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Belden based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Belden Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-07-19 CALL at $95.0 is a CALL option contract on Belden's common stock with a strick price of 95.0 expiring on 2024-07-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-21 at 13:26:38 for $3.3 and, as of today, has 25 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.15, and an ask price of $3.7. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of June is 29.53. View All Belden options

Closest to current price Belden long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Belden's future price is the expected price of Belden instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Belden Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Belden Backtesting, Belden Valuation, Belden Correlation, Belden Hype Analysis, Belden Volatility, Belden History as well as Belden Performance.
  
At present, Belden's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 21.93, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.81. Please specify Belden's target price for which you would like Belden odds to be computed.

Belden Target Price Odds to finish over 95.15

The tendency of Belden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 95.15 90 days 95.15 
about 18.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Belden to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.13 (This Belden Inc probability density function shows the probability of Belden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Belden will likely underperform. Additionally Belden Inc has an alpha of 0.1303, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Belden Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Belden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Belden Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Belden's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.1695.0897.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.64100.59102.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.2798.19100.11
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
93.18102.40113.66
Details

Belden Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Belden is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Belden's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Belden Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Belden within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
4.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Belden Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Belden for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Belden Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Belden Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Belden Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: This Analyst With 86 percent Accuracy Rate Sees Over 13 percent Upside In Alphabet - Here Are 5 Stock Picks For Last Week From Wall Streets Most Accurate Analysts

Belden Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Belden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Belden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Belden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments597 M

Belden Technical Analysis

Belden's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Belden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Belden Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Belden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Belden Predictive Forecast Models

Belden's time-series forecasting models is one of many Belden's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Belden's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Belden Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Belden for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Belden Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Belden Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Belden Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: This Analyst With 86 percent Accuracy Rate Sees Over 13 percent Upside In Alphabet - Here Are 5 Stock Picks For Last Week From Wall Streets Most Accurate Analysts

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Belden Stock

When determining whether Belden Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Belden's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Belden Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Belden Inc Stock:
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Belden. If investors know Belden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Belden listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
5.11
Revenue Per Share
57.591
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Belden Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Belden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Belden's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Belden's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Belden's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Belden's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Belden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Belden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Belden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.