Bausch Health Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.82
| BHC Stock | USD 8.76 0.12 1.35% |
Closest to current price Bausch long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Bausch |
Bausch Health Target Price Odds to finish below 8.82
The tendency of Bausch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.82 after 90 days |
| 8.76 | 90 days | 8.82 | about 39.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bausch Health to stay under $ 8.82 after 90 days from now is about 39.69 (This Bausch Health Companies probability density function shows the probability of Bausch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bausch Health Companies price to stay between its current price of $ 8.76 and $ 8.82 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bausch Health has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bausch Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bausch Health Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bausch Health Companies has an alpha of 0.1374, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bausch Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bausch Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bausch Health Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bausch Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bausch Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bausch Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bausch Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bausch Health Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bausch Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Bausch Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bausch Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bausch Health Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.76 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (611 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.76 B. | |
| Bausch Health has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Piper Sandler raises Bausch Health stock target, keeps neutral rating |
Bausch Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bausch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bausch Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bausch Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 364.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 947 M |
Bausch Health Technical Analysis
Bausch Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bausch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bausch Health Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bausch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bausch Health Predictive Forecast Models
Bausch Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bausch Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bausch Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bausch Health Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bausch Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bausch Health Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.76 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (611 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.76 B. | |
| Bausch Health has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Piper Sandler raises Bausch Health stock target, keeps neutral rating |
Check out Bausch Health Backtesting, Bausch Health Valuation, Bausch Health Correlation, Bausch Health Hype Analysis, Bausch Health Volatility, Bausch Health History as well as Bausch Health Performance. Note that the Bausch Health Companies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bausch Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Bausch Stock analysis
When running Bausch Health's price analysis, check to measure Bausch Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bausch Health is operating at the current time. Most of Bausch Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bausch Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bausch Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bausch Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bausch Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bausch Health. If investors know Bausch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bausch Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.115 | Earnings Share (1.62) | Revenue Per Share 23.998 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.098 | Return On Assets 0.0382 |
The market value of Bausch Health Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bausch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bausch Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bausch Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bausch Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bausch Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bausch Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bausch Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bausch Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.