Coloseum Holding (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 130.00

COLOS Stock   130.00  0.00  0.00%   
Coloseum Holding's future price is the expected price of Coloseum Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coloseum Holding as performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coloseum Holding Backtesting, Coloseum Holding Valuation, Coloseum Holding Correlation, Coloseum Holding Hype Analysis, Coloseum Holding Volatility, Coloseum Holding History as well as Coloseum Holding Performance.
  
Please specify Coloseum Holding's target price for which you would like Coloseum Holding odds to be computed.

Coloseum Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 130.00

The tendency of Coloseum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 130.00 90 days 130.00 
about 79.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coloseum Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.15 (This Coloseum Holding as probability density function shows the probability of Coloseum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Coloseum Holding as has a beta of -1.04 suggesting Additionally Coloseum Holding as has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Coloseum Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coloseum Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coloseum Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coloseum Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.15130.00135.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.44115.29143.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
125.32131.17137.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
116.64131.33146.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coloseum Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coloseum Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coloseum Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coloseum Holding.

Coloseum Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coloseum Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coloseum Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coloseum Holding as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coloseum Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.04
σ
Overall volatility
17.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Coloseum Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coloseum Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coloseum Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coloseum Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coloseum Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Coloseum Holding Technical Analysis

Coloseum Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coloseum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coloseum Holding as. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coloseum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coloseum Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Coloseum Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coloseum Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coloseum Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coloseum Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coloseum Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coloseum Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coloseum Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coloseum Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Check out Coloseum Holding Backtesting, Coloseum Holding Valuation, Coloseum Holding Correlation, Coloseum Holding Hype Analysis, Coloseum Holding Volatility, Coloseum Holding History as well as Coloseum Holding Performance.
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Complementary Tools for Coloseum Stock analysis

When running Coloseum Holding's price analysis, check to measure Coloseum Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coloseum Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Coloseum Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coloseum Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coloseum Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coloseum Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Coloseum Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coloseum Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coloseum Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.