Ecarx Holdings Warrants Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.035
| ECXWW Stock | 0.04 0.01 73.27% |
ECARX |
ECARX Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.035
The tendency of ECARX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECARX Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This ECARX Holdings Warrants probability density function shows the probability of ECARX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ECARX Holdings Warrants has a beta of -0.5 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ECARX Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ECARX Holdings Warrants is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that ECARX Holdings Warrants has an alpha of 2.2154, implying that it can generate a 2.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ECARX Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ECARX Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECARX Holdings Warrants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECARX Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ECARX Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECARX Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECARX Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECARX Holdings Warrants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECARX Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 2.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
ECARX Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECARX Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECARX Holdings Warrants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ECARX Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| ECARX Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ECARX Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ECARX Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ECARX Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ECARX Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| ECARX Holdings has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
ECARX Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECARX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECARX Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECARX Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 337.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 699 M |
ECARX Holdings Technical Analysis
ECARX Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ECARX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ECARX Holdings Warrants. In general, you should focus on analyzing ECARX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ECARX Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
ECARX Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ECARX Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ECARX Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ECARX Holdings Warrants
Checking the ongoing alerts about ECARX Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ECARX Holdings Warrants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ECARX Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| ECARX Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ECARX Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ECARX Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ECARX Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| ECARX Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| ECARX Holdings has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for ECARX Stock analysis
When running ECARX Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ECARX Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ECARX Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ECARX Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ECARX Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ECARX Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ECARX Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated |
Is ECARX Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ECARX Holdings. If investors know ECARX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ECARX Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share 14.307 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.213 | Return On Assets (0.16) |
The market value of ECARX Holdings Warrants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ECARX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ECARX Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ECARX Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ECARX Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ECARX Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ECARX Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ECARX Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ECARX Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.