Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.50

FATH Stock  USD 4.50  0.01  0.22%   
Fathom Digital's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Fathom Digital Manufacturing. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Fathom Digital based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Fathom Digital Manufacturing over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-15 PUT at $5.0 is a PUT option contract on Fathom Digital's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2024-03-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.6, and an ask price of $4.8. The implied volatility as of the 4th of March is 402.65. View All Fathom options

Closest to current price Fathom long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Fathom Digital's future price is the expected price of Fathom Digital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fathom Digital Manufacturing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fathom Digital Backtesting, Fathom Digital Valuation, Fathom Digital Correlation, Fathom Digital Hype Analysis, Fathom Digital Volatility, Fathom Digital History as well as Fathom Digital Performance.
  
The Fathom Digital's current Price to Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.44, while Price to Book Value is projected to decrease to 3.50. Please specify Fathom Digital's target price for which you would like Fathom Digital odds to be computed.

Fathom Digital Target Price Odds to finish over 4.50

The tendency of Fathom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.50 90 days 4.50 
about 40.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fathom Digital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.7 (This Fathom Digital Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of Fathom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fathom Digital has a beta of 0.82. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fathom Digital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fathom Digital Manufacturing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Fathom Digital Manuf is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Fathom Digital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fathom Digital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fathom Digital Manuf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fathom Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fathom Digital in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.754.527.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.186.959.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.764.547.31
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.6515.0016.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fathom Digital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fathom Digital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fathom Digital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fathom Digital Manuf.

Fathom Digital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fathom Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fathom Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fathom Digital Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fathom Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.82
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Fathom Digital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fathom Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fathom Digital Manuf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fathom Digital Manuf generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fathom Digital Manuf has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 170.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fathom Digital Manuf has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Fathom Digital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fathom Digital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fathom Digital Manuf sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fathom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fathom Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 139.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 59.19 M.
Fathom Digital Manufacturing currently holds about 11.12 M in cash with (1.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Roughly 62.0% of Fathom Digital shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 197 shares by Mark Frost of Fathom Digital subject to Rule 16b-3

Fathom Digital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fathom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fathom Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fathom Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M

Fathom Digital Technical Analysis

Fathom Digital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fathom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fathom Digital Manufacturing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fathom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fathom Digital Predictive Forecast Models

Fathom Digital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fathom Digital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fathom Digital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fathom Digital Manuf

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fathom Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fathom Digital Manuf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fathom Digital Manuf generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fathom Digital Manuf has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 170.53 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fathom Digital Manuf has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Fathom Digital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fathom Digital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fathom Digital Manuf sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fathom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fathom Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 139.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 59.19 M.
Fathom Digital Manufacturing currently holds about 11.12 M in cash with (1.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Roughly 62.0% of Fathom Digital shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 197 shares by Mark Frost of Fathom Digital subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Fathom Digital Manuf offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fathom Digital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock:

Complementary Tools for Fathom Stock analysis

When running Fathom Digital's price analysis, check to measure Fathom Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fathom Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Fathom Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fathom Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fathom Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fathom Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fathom Digital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fathom Digital. If investors know Fathom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fathom Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(17.56)
Revenue Per Share
40.998
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Fathom Digital Manuf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fathom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fathom Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fathom Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fathom Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fathom Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fathom Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fathom Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fathom Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.