Greenbrier Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 52.23
| GBX Stock | USD 53.11 0.42 0.78% |
Closest to current price Greenbrier long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Greenbrier |
Greenbrier Companies Target Price Odds to finish over 52.23
The tendency of Greenbrier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 52.23 in 90 days |
| 53.11 | 90 days | 52.23 | about 35.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greenbrier Companies to stay above $ 52.23 in 90 days from now is about 35.73 (This Greenbrier Companies probability density function shows the probability of Greenbrier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greenbrier Companies price to stay between $ 52.23 and its current price of $53.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.47 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Greenbrier Companies will likely underperform. Additionally Greenbrier Companies has an alpha of 0.0403, implying that it can generate a 0.0403 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Greenbrier Companies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Greenbrier Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greenbrier Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greenbrier Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greenbrier Companies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greenbrier Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greenbrier Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greenbrier Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greenbrier Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Greenbrier Companies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greenbrier Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greenbrier Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of May 2024 Greenbrier Companies paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are Transportation Stocks Lagging The Greenbrier Companies This Year |
Greenbrier Companies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greenbrier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greenbrier Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenbrier Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.7 M |
Greenbrier Companies Technical Analysis
Greenbrier Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greenbrier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greenbrier Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greenbrier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Greenbrier Companies Predictive Forecast Models
Greenbrier Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Greenbrier Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greenbrier Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Greenbrier Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Greenbrier Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greenbrier Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of May 2024 Greenbrier Companies paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are Transportation Stocks Lagging The Greenbrier Companies This Year |
Additional Tools for Greenbrier Stock Analysis
When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.