Grupo Televisa Sab Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.65

GRPFF Stock  USD 0.65  0.05  8.33%   
Grupo Televisa's future price is the expected price of Grupo Televisa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grupo Televisa SAB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grupo Televisa Backtesting, Grupo Televisa Valuation, Grupo Televisa Correlation, Grupo Televisa Hype Analysis, Grupo Televisa Volatility, Grupo Televisa History as well as Grupo Televisa Performance.
  
Please specify Grupo Televisa's target price for which you would like Grupo Televisa odds to be computed.

Grupo Televisa Target Price Odds to finish over 0.65

The tendency of Grupo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.65 90 days 0.65 
about 5.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Televisa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.62 (This Grupo Televisa SAB probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Grupo Televisa SAB has a beta of -0.86. This usually indicates Additionally Grupo Televisa SAB has an alpha of 0.307, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grupo Televisa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grupo Televisa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Televisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.633.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.533.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.713.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.570.610.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grupo Televisa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grupo Televisa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grupo Televisa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grupo Televisa SAB.

Grupo Televisa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Televisa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Televisa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Televisa SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Televisa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.86
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Grupo Televisa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Televisa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Televisa SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Grupo Televisa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Televisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Televisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding329.3 B

Grupo Televisa Technical Analysis

Grupo Televisa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Televisa SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grupo Televisa Predictive Forecast Models

Grupo Televisa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Televisa's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Televisa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grupo Televisa SAB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Televisa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Televisa SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether Grupo Televisa SAB is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grupo Televisa's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grupo Televisa's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grupo Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Grupo Televisa Backtesting, Grupo Televisa Valuation, Grupo Televisa Correlation, Grupo Televisa Hype Analysis, Grupo Televisa Volatility, Grupo Televisa History as well as Grupo Televisa Performance.
Note that the Grupo Televisa SAB information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grupo Televisa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Grupo Pink Sheet analysis

When running Grupo Televisa's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Televisa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Televisa is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Televisa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Televisa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Televisa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Televisa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Televisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Televisa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Televisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.