Grupo OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 1.10

GRPFF
 Stock
  

USD 1.10  0.00  0.00%   

Grupo Televisa's future price is the expected price of Grupo Televisa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grupo Televisa Sa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Grupo Televisa Backtesting, Grupo Televisa Valuation, Grupo Televisa Correlation, Grupo Televisa Hype Analysis, Grupo Televisa Volatility, Grupo Televisa History as well as Grupo Televisa Performance. Please specify Grupo Televisa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Grupo Televisa odds to be computed.

Grupo Televisa Target Price Odds to finish over 1.10

The tendency of Grupo OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.10 90 days 1.10 
about 73.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Televisa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.77 (This Grupo Televisa Sa probability density function shows the probability of Grupo OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Grupo Televisa Sa has a beta of -0.58. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Grupo Televisa are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Grupo Televisa Sa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Grupo Televisa Sa is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Grupo Televisa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grupo Televisa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa Sa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Televisa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Grupo Televisa in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.104.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.050.944.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0225281.134.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.981.081.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grupo Televisa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grupo Televisa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grupo Televisa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Grupo Televisa Sa.

Grupo Televisa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Televisa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Televisa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Televisa Sa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Televisa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.28
β
Beta against DOW-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Grupo Televisa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Televisa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Televisa Sa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grupo Televisa Sa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grupo Televisa Sa may become a speculative penny stock
Grupo Televisa Sa has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Grupo Televisa Sa has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: JPMorgan Chase Adjusts Price Target on Grupo Televisa S.A to 8.50 From 10, Maintains Overweight Rating - Marketscreener.com

Grupo Televisa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Televisa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Televisa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.35
Float Shares2.08B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day403.6k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month124.05k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield31.82%

Grupo Televisa Technical Analysis

Grupo Televisa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Televisa Sa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grupo Televisa Predictive Forecast Models

Grupo Televisa time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Televisa's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Grupo Televisa's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grupo Televisa Sa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Televisa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Televisa Sa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grupo Televisa Sa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Grupo Televisa Sa may become a speculative penny stock
Grupo Televisa Sa has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Grupo Televisa Sa has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: JPMorgan Chase Adjusts Price Target on Grupo Televisa S.A to 8.50 From 10, Maintains Overweight Rating - Marketscreener.com
Please check Grupo Televisa Backtesting, Grupo Televisa Valuation, Grupo Televisa Correlation, Grupo Televisa Hype Analysis, Grupo Televisa Volatility, Grupo Televisa History as well as Grupo Televisa Performance. Note that the Grupo Televisa Sa information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grupo Televisa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Grupo Televisa Sa price analysis, check to measure Grupo Televisa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Televisa is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Televisa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Televisa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Televisa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Televisa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Televisa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Grupo Televisa value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Televisa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.