Immatics Nv Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.37

IMTX Stock  USD 12.37  0.06  0.48%   
Immatics' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Immatics NV. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Immatics based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Immatics NV over a specific time period. For example, 2024-07-19 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Immatics' common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-07-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-12 at 10:36:12 for $1.84 and, as of today, has 26 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $1.8. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of June is 77.37. View All Immatics options

Closest to current price Immatics long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Immatics' future price is the expected price of Immatics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Immatics NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Immatics Backtesting, Immatics Valuation, Immatics Correlation, Immatics Hype Analysis, Immatics Volatility, Immatics History as well as Immatics Performance.
  
At this time, Immatics' Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 0.03 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 13.50 in 2024. Please specify Immatics' target price for which you would like Immatics odds to be computed.

Immatics Target Price Odds to finish over 12.37

The tendency of Immatics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.37 90 days 12.37 
about 12.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immatics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.48 (This Immatics NV probability density function shows the probability of Immatics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Immatics has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Immatics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Immatics NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Immatics NV has an alpha of 0.1497, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Immatics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Immatics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immatics NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immatics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4912.3016.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7515.5619.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.9611.7715.58
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.4119.1321.23
Details

Immatics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immatics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immatics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immatics NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immatics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Immatics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Immatics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Immatics NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immatics NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 54 M. Net Loss for the year was (96.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 172.83 M.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Immatics N.V. AGM Concludes Successfully - TipRanks.com - TipRanks

Immatics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Immatics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Immatics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immatics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments425.9 M

Immatics Technical Analysis

Immatics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immatics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immatics NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immatics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Immatics Predictive Forecast Models

Immatics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Immatics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Immatics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Immatics NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Immatics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Immatics NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immatics NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 54 M. Net Loss for the year was (96.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 172.83 M.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Immatics N.V. AGM Concludes Successfully - TipRanks.com - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Immatics Stock Analysis

When running Immatics' price analysis, check to measure Immatics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immatics is operating at the current time. Most of Immatics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immatics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immatics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immatics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.