Matador Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 69.47
MTDR Stock | USD 61.78 1.19 1.96% |
Closest to current price Matador long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Matador |
Matador Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 69.47
The tendency of Matador Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 69.47 or more in 90 days |
61.78 | 90 days | 69.47 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matador Resources to move over $ 69.47 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Matador Resources probability density function shows the probability of Matador Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matador Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 61.78 and $ 69.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.21 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This indicates Matador Resources market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Matador Resources is expected to follow. Additionally Matador Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Matador Resources Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Matador Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matador Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matador Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matador Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matador Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matador Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matador Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matador Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Matador Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matador Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matador Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Matador Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Matador Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: Why Is Matador Down 7.1 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Matador Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Matador Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Matador Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matador Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.3 M |
Matador Resources Technical Analysis
Matador Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matador Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matador Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matador Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matador Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Matador Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Matador Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matador Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matador Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matador Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matador Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Matador Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Matador Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: Why Is Matador Down 7.1 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Check out Matador Resources Backtesting, Matador Resources Valuation, Matador Resources Correlation, Matador Resources Hype Analysis, Matador Resources Volatility, Matador Resources History as well as Matador Resources Performance. To learn how to invest in Matador Stock, please use our How to Invest in Matador Resources guide.Note that the Matador Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Matador Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Complementary Tools for Matador Stock analysis
When running Matador Resources' price analysis, check to measure Matador Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matador Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Matador Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matador Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matador Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matador Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation |
Is Matador Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Matador Resources. If investors know Matador will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Matador Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | Dividend Share 0.7 | Earnings Share 7.3 | Revenue Per Share 23.679 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.397 |
The market value of Matador Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Matador that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Matador Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Matador Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Matador Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Matador Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Matador Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Matador Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Matador Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.