Regional Health Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.83
| RHE Stock | USD 2.60 0.06 2.36% |
Regional |
Regional Health Target Price Odds to finish below 2.83
The tendency of Regional Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.83 after 90 days |
| 2.60 | 90 days | 2.83 | about 79.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional Health to stay under $ 2.83 after 90 days from now is about 79.22 (This Regional Health Properties probability density function shows the probability of Regional Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regional Health Prop price to stay between its current price of $ 2.60 and $ 2.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Regional Health has a beta of 0.46 indicating as returns on the market go up, Regional Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Regional Health Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Regional Health Properties has an alpha of 0.0759, implying that it can generate a 0.0759 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Regional Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Regional Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Health Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regional Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Regional Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional Health Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Regional Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regional Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regional Health Prop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Regional Health Prop had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Regional Health Prop has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has 53.65 M in debt. Regional Health Prop has a current ratio of 0.82, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Regional Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Regional Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Regional Health Prop sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Regional to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Regional Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 17.16 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.89 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.94 M. | |
| Regional Health Prop has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 juicy UK shares I own for passive income and growth - MSN |
Regional Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regional Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regional Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 M |
Regional Health Technical Analysis
Regional Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional Health Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regional Health Predictive Forecast Models
Regional Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Regional Health Prop
Checking the ongoing alerts about Regional Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regional Health Prop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Regional Health Prop had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Regional Health Prop has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has 53.65 M in debt. Regional Health Prop has a current ratio of 0.82, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Regional Health until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Regional Health's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Regional Health Prop sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Regional to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Regional Health's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 17.16 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.89 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.94 M. | |
| Regional Health Prop has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 juicy UK shares I own for passive income and growth - MSN |
Check out Regional Health Backtesting, Regional Health Valuation, Regional Health Correlation, Regional Health Hype Analysis, Regional Health Volatility, Regional Health History as well as Regional Health Performance. Note that the Regional Health Prop information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Regional Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Regional Stock analysis
When running Regional Health's price analysis, check to measure Regional Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regional Health is operating at the current time. Most of Regional Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regional Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regional Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regional Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Regional Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regional Health. If investors know Regional will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regional Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 22.81 | Revenue Per Share 8.67 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 | Return On Assets (0) | Return On Equity (5.34) |
The market value of Regional Health Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regional that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regional Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regional Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regional Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regional Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regional Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regional Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regional Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.