Sunpower Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.88
| SPWR Stock | USD 1.88 0.06 3.09% |
Closest to current price SunPower long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
SunPower |
SunPower Target Price Odds to finish over 1.88
The tendency of SunPower Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.88 | 90 days | 1.88 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SunPower to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This SunPower probability density function shows the probability of SunPower Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.4 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SunPower will likely underperform. Additionally SunPower has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. SunPower Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SunPower
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SunPower. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SunPower's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SunPower Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SunPower is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SunPower's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SunPower, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SunPower within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.89 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 4.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
SunPower Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SunPower for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SunPower can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SunPower generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SunPower has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SunPower may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SunPower has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (227.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 363.9 M. | |
| SunPower currently holds about 535.24 M in cash with (139.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| SunPower has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: UPDATE 4-Solar firm SunPower to cut jobs, wind down most of residential direct sales |
SunPower Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SunPower Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SunPower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SunPower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.4 M |
SunPower Technical Analysis
SunPower's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SunPower Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SunPower. In general, you should focus on analyzing SunPower Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SunPower Predictive Forecast Models
SunPower's time-series forecasting models is one of many SunPower's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SunPower's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SunPower
Checking the ongoing alerts about SunPower for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SunPower help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SunPower generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SunPower has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SunPower may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SunPower has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (227.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 363.9 M. | |
| SunPower currently holds about 535.24 M in cash with (139.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| SunPower has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: UPDATE 4-Solar firm SunPower to cut jobs, wind down most of residential direct sales |
Check out SunPower Backtesting, SunPower Valuation, SunPower Correlation, SunPower Hype Analysis, SunPower Volatility, SunPower History as well as SunPower Performance. To learn how to invest in SunPower Stock, please use our How to Invest in SunPower guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for SunPower Stock analysis
When running SunPower's price analysis, check to measure SunPower's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SunPower is operating at the current time. Most of SunPower's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SunPower's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SunPower's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SunPower to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SunPower's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SunPower. If investors know SunPower will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SunPower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Earnings Share (1.30) | Revenue Per Share 9.628 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of SunPower is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SunPower that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SunPower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SunPower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SunPower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SunPower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SunPower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SunPower is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SunPower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.