Solarwinds Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.85
| SWI Stock | USD 12.05 0.09 0.74% |
Closest to current price SolarWinds long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
SolarWinds |
SolarWinds Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 9.85
The tendency of SolarWinds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.85 or more in 90 days |
| 12.05 | 90 days | 9.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SolarWinds Corp to drop to $ 9.85 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SolarWinds Corp probability density function shows the probability of SolarWinds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SolarWinds Corp price to stay between $ 9.85 and its current price of $12.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.78 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon SolarWinds Corp has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SolarWinds Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SolarWinds Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SolarWinds Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. SolarWinds Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SolarWinds Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SolarWinds Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SolarWinds Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SolarWinds Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SolarWinds Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SolarWinds Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SolarWinds Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SolarWinds Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
SolarWinds Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SolarWinds Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SolarWinds Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 758.74 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 651.7 M. | |
| SolarWinds Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 SolarWinds Corp paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: SolarWinds Unveils Enhanced Database Performance Analyzer with Advanced PostgreSQL Support |
SolarWinds Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SolarWinds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SolarWinds Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SolarWinds Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 289.2 M |
SolarWinds Corp Technical Analysis
SolarWinds Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SolarWinds Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SolarWinds Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SolarWinds Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SolarWinds Corp Predictive Forecast Models
SolarWinds Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many SolarWinds Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SolarWinds Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SolarWinds Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about SolarWinds Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SolarWinds Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 758.74 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 651.7 M. | |
| SolarWinds Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 SolarWinds Corp paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: SolarWinds Unveils Enhanced Database Performance Analyzer with Advanced PostgreSQL Support |
Check out SolarWinds Corp Backtesting, SolarWinds Corp Valuation, SolarWinds Corp Correlation, SolarWinds Corp Hype Analysis, SolarWinds Corp Volatility, SolarWinds Corp History as well as SolarWinds Corp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in SolarWinds Stock please use our How to Invest in SolarWinds Corp guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for SolarWinds Stock analysis
When running SolarWinds Corp's price analysis, check to measure SolarWinds Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SolarWinds Corp is operating at the current time. Most of SolarWinds Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SolarWinds Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SolarWinds Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SolarWinds Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SolarWinds Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SolarWinds Corp. If investors know SolarWinds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SolarWinds Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.447 | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share 4.621 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 | Return On Assets 0.0367 |
The market value of SolarWinds Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SolarWinds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SolarWinds Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SolarWinds Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SolarWinds Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SolarWinds Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SolarWinds Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SolarWinds Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SolarWinds Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.