Arlington Asset Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Arlington Asset Investment Corp buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Arlington Asset positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Arlington Asset Investment Corp available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Arlington Asset buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Arlington Asset Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Arlington Asset Investment Corp -- USA Stock  

USD 11.66  0.07  0.6%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Arlington Asset Investment Corp is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Arlington Asset Investment Corp has a mean deviation of 0.7562, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 1.22, variance of 1.48, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
This buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Arlington Asset Inve and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Arlington Asset is not overpriced, please confirm all Arlington Asset Inve fundamentals including its Gross Profit, Current Ratio and the relationship between Price to Book and Cash per Share . Given that Arlington Asset Inve has Number of Shares Shorted of 1.79 M, we suggest you validate Arlington Asset Investment Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.27Value At Risk1.18
Potential Upside0.93Standard Deviation1.22
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Arlington Asset Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.35
σ
Overall volatility
=1.24
Ir
Information ratio =0.44

Arlington Asset Volatility Alert

Arlington Asset Investment Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.7 and kurtosis of 9.98. However, we advise investors to further study Arlington Asset Investment Corp technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arlington Asset to competition
FundamentalsArlington AssetPeer Average
Return On Equity(7.56) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset(0.76) % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(90.16) % (5.5) %
Operating Margin48.8 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation84.44 M152.14 B
Shares Outstanding28.14 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders2.07 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions40.67 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.79 M3.24 M
Price to Earning(7.71) times40.69 times
Price to Book0.86 times14.44 times
Price to Sales9.56 times17.81 times
Revenue34.65 M9.85 B
Gross Profit76.11 M21.75 B
Net Income(31.36 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents4.03 B3.89 B
Cash per Share143.04 times5.17 times
Total Debt3.78 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity961.8 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.12 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share13.76 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations89.2 M1.25 B
Short Ratio3.55 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share(1.29) times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.57) times1.22 times
Number of Employees1110.67 K
Beta0.90.34
Market Capitalization331.22 M29.78 B
Total Asset4.2 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(1.43 B)38.24 B
Working Capital(2.81 B)3.58 B
Current Asset48.92 M36.8 B
Current Liabilities2.86 B33.34 B
SellBuy
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Purchase by Eric Billings of 9266 shares of Arlington Asset [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.090455)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.7945
Mean Deviation0.7562
Coefficient Of Variation(452.94)
Standard Deviation1.22
Variance1.48
Information Ratio(0.44)
Jensen Alpha(0.19)
Total Risk Alpha(0.98)
Treynor Ratio0.7845
Maximum Drawdown5.77
Value At Risk(1.18)
Potential Upside0.9322
Skewness(2.7)
Kurtosis9.98

Current Valuation

Arlington Asset Current Valuation Analysis
Arlington Asset Investment Corp is rated below average in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Trading industry is presently estimated at about 58.21 Billion. Arlington Asset adds roughly 84.44 Million in current valuation claiming only tiny portion of equities listed under Trading industry.