Braemar Hotel Resorts Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BHR Stock  USD 2.62  0.03  1.16%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Braemar Hotel Resorts is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Braemar Hotel buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BHR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Braemar Hotel's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Braemar Hotel's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
3.45
Target Price
6.5
Hype Value
2.6
Market Value
2.62
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Braemar Hotel Resorts given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Braemar Hotel. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Braemar Hotel Resorts, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Braemar Hotel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Braemar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Braemar Hotel Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Braemar Hotel Buy or Sell Advice

The Braemar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Braemar Hotel Resorts. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Braemar Hotel Resorts or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Braemar Hotel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Braemar HotelBuy Braemar Hotel
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Braemar Hotel Resorts has a Mean Deviation of 3.2, Semi Deviation of 3.45, Standard Deviation of 4.31, Variance of 18.57, Downside Variance of 13.89 and Semi Variance of 11.91
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Braemar Hotel Resorts. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Braemar Hotel is not overpriced, please confirm all Braemar Hotel Resorts fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Please also double-check Braemar Hotel Resorts price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Braemar Hotel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Braemar Hotel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 739.34 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.02 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 199.5 M.
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of April 2024 Braemar Hotel paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Blackwells Releases Letter to Fellow Braemar Hotels Resorts Inc.s Shareholders

Braemar Hotel Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Braemar Hotel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Braemar Hotel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Braemar Hotel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Braemar Hotel Resorts price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Braemar Hotel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Braemar Hotel.
Mean Return
0.34
Value At Risk
-5.5
Potential Upside
7.39
Standard Deviation
4.31
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Braemar Hotel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Braemar Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Braemar Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Braemar Hotel Resorts backward and forwards among themselves. Braemar Hotel's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Braemar Hotel's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
757.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
699.9 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
684.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
551.6 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
508.6 K
Ironwood Investment Management Llc2023-12-31
409.8 K
State Of New Jersey Common Pension Fd D2023-12-31
406 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
365.7 K
Lpl Financial Corp2023-12-31
348.5 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
9.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
3.4 M
Note, although Braemar Hotel's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Braemar Hotel Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.2M)10.5M(36.0M)(11.3M)(10.1M)(9.6M)
Change In Cash(128.1M)(17.2M)150.2M52.3M(149.2M)(141.7M)
Free Cash Flow66.3M(50.3M)64.0M109.5M7.6M8.0M
Depreciation70.8M74.2M74.3M78.6M93.7M61.0M
Other Non Cash Items(13.0M)(3.4M)1.5M(5.2M)481K505.1K
Dividends Paid33.4M16.2M9.1M20.8M(52.6M)(49.9M)
Capital Expenditures248.0M25.6M4.6M403.6M77.1M136.3M
Net Income1.2M(124.7M)(32.9M)19.3M(27.0M)(25.7M)
End Period Cash Flow130.4M113.2M263.4M315.7M166.5M170.6M
Investments265K(26K)(233K)(328K)(77.1M)(73.2M)
Net Borrowings67.9M54.9M(3.1M)94.9M109.1M60.0M
Change To Netincome(15.9M)2.6M12.1M12.6M14.5M15.2M

Braemar Hotel Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Braemar Hotel or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Braemar Hotel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Braemar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.39
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.88
σ
Overall volatility
4.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Braemar Hotel Volatility Alert

Braemar Hotel Resorts shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Braemar Hotel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Braemar Hotel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Braemar Hotel Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Braemar Hotel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Braemar Hotel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Braemar Hotel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Braemar Hotel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Braemar Hotel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Braemar Hotel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Braemar Hotel to competition
FundamentalsBraemar HotelPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0372-0.31
Return On Asset0.0166-0.14
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.82 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding66.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders12.99 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.08 M4.71 M
Price To Earning48.73 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.53 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.28 X11.42 X
Revenue739.34 M9.43 B
Gross Profit199.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA147.48 M3.9 B
Net Income(27.02 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents261.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.59 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.22 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.99 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations84.71 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.73 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.13) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.10 X4.89 X
Target Price4.83
Beta2.17-0.15
Market Capitalization220.43 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(412.2 M)9.33 B
Working Capital75.67 M1.48 B
Current Asset217.01 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 2589 shares by Deric Eubanks of Braemar Hotel at 6.04 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Braemar Hotel Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Braemar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Braemar Hotel Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Braemar Hotel Resorts? Buying financial instruments such as Braemar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity504.3M801.8M795.1M477.3M
Total Assets1.9B2.4B2.2B1.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Braemar Hotel in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Convertibles Funds Thematic Idea Now

Convertibles Funds
Convertibles Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in debt that is expected to be converted into a predetermined amount of the company equity at some future date. The Convertibles Funds theme has 12 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Convertibles Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Braemar Hotel Resorts is a strong investment it is important to analyze Braemar Hotel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Braemar Hotel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Braemar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Braemar Hotel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Braemar Hotel Resorts information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Braemar Hotel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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Is Braemar Hotel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Braemar Hotel. If investors know Braemar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Braemar Hotel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.69)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
(1.13)
Revenue Per Share
11.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
The market value of Braemar Hotel Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Braemar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Braemar Hotel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Braemar Hotel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Braemar Hotel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Braemar Hotel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Braemar Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Braemar Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Braemar Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.