Gold Fields Ltd Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GFI Stock  USD 17.40  0.44  2.59%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gold Fields Ltd is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gold Fields buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GFI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gold Fields' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gold Fields' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
15.56
Target Price
14.8
Hype Value
17.43
Market Value
17.4
Naive Value
16.47
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gold Fields Ltd given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gold Fields. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gold Fields Ltd, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Gold Fields Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gold and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gold Fields Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Gold Fields Buy or Sell Advice

The Gold recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gold Fields Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gold Fields Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gold Fields' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gold FieldsBuy Gold Fields
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Gold Fields Ltd has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1134, Jensen Alpha of 0.3861, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1238, Sortino Ratio of 0.1273 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3395
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Gold Fields and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Gold Fields Ltd is not overpriced, please check out all Gold Fields fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Gold Fields has a price to book of 3.63 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Gold Fields market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Gold Fields Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gold Fields had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Gold Fields has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 28th of March 2024 Gold Fields paid $ 0.219 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Cleveland-Cliffs Earnings Revenues Lag Estimates in Q1

Gold Fields Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gold Fields' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gold Fields' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gold Fields daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gold Fields Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gold Fields returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gold Fields.
Mean Return
0.51
Value At Risk
-5.2
Potential Upside
5.27
Standard Deviation
3.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gold Fields historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gold Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gold Fields is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gold Fields Ltd backward and forwards among themselves. Gold Fields' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gold Fields' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
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Note, although Gold Fields' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Gold Fields Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash295.3M371.8M(362.1M)244.7M(120.7M)(114.7M)
Free Cash Flow280.2M520.6M539.2M670.9M520.9M546.9M
Other Non Cash Items(312.8M)(570.5M)(829M)(719.4M)215.5M226.3M
Capital Expenditures612.5M590.8M1.1B1.0B1.1B586.3M
Net Income424M745.4M1.4B1.3B722.2M758.3M
End Period Cash Flow515M886.8M524.7M769.4M648.7M403.3M
Change To Inventory(56.2M)(89.9M)(132.1M)(195.1M)(153.1M)(145.4M)
Depreciation610M661.3M713.2M844.3M821.1M535.1M
Investments(446.8M)(607.4M)(3.2M)(1.1B)(1.4B)(1.3B)
Net Borrowings(104.6M)(388.8M)(510.5M)(56.9M)(51.2M)(53.8M)
Change To Netincome113.5M36.6M139.4M262.5M236.3M175.8M

Gold Fields Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gold Fields or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gold Fields' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gold stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.39
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.48
σ
Overall volatility
3.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Gold Fields Volatility Alert

Gold Fields Ltd shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gold Fields' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gold Fields' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gold Fields Implied Volatility

Gold Fields' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gold Fields Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gold Fields' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gold Fields stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gold Fields' options are near their expiration.

Gold Fields Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gold Fields' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gold Fields' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gold Fields and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gold Fields or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gold Fields' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gold Fields by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gold Fields to competition
FundamentalsGold FieldsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding895.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions22.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.32 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.51 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.61 X11.42 X
Revenue4.5 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.57 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.21 B3.9 B
Net Income722.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents769.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.67 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.36 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.22 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.58 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.27 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.79 X3.12 X
Target Price15.33
Number Of Employees6.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.75-0.15
Market Capitalization15.18 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.96 B9.33 B
Working Capital381.9 M1.48 B
Current Asset904.3 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities522.1 M7.9 B

Gold Fields Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gold . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gold Fields Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gold Fields Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Gold Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.5B1.5B1.7B1.1B
Total Assets7.3B7.3B8.2B4.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gold Fields in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Long Short Funds Thematic Idea Now

Long Short Funds
Long Short Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are designed to hedge away market risk by investing in combination of bonds, stocks, derivative instruments as well as short positions to maximize returns irrespective of market conditions. The Long Short Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long Short Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Gold Fields offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Gold Fields' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gold Fields Ltd Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Gold Fields Ltd Stock:
Check out Gold Fields Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Gold Fields information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gold Fields' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Gold Fields' price analysis, check to measure Gold Fields' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gold Fields is operating at the current time. Most of Gold Fields' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gold Fields' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gold Fields' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gold Fields to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gold Fields' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gold Fields. If investors know Gold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gold Fields listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
0.407
Earnings Share
0.79
Revenue Per Share
2.519
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
The market value of Gold Fields is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gold Fields' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gold Fields' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gold Fields' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gold Fields' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gold Fields' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gold Fields is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gold Fields' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.