Gran Tierra Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

Stocks . USA . 
Stock . Gran Tierra Energy
GTE Stock  USD 0.75  0.01  1.35%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gran Tierra Energy is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Gran Tierra buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GTE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gran Tierra's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Gran Tierra's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Gran Tierra Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Gran Tierra Stock refer to our How to Trade Gran Tierra Stock guide.We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gran Tierra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Gran Tierra Energy.

Execute Gran Tierra Buy or Sell Advice

The Gran Tierra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gran Tierra Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gran Tierra Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gran Tierra's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gran TierraBuy Gran Tierra
Strong Sell

Volatility

Dangerous
Details

Hype Condition

Stale
Details

Current Valuation

Undervalued
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Odds of Distress

Close to Average
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Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the market
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Analyst Consensus

Hold
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Financial Strenth (F Score)

Healthy
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Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible Manipulator
Details
For the selected time horizon Gran Tierra Energy has a Mean Deviation of 2.69, Standard Deviation of 3.56 and Variance of 12.64
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Gran Tierra. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Gran Tierra Energy is not overpriced, please check out all Gran Tierra fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . As Gran Tierra Energy appears to be a penny stock we also urge to confirm its price to earning numbers.

Gran Tierra Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Gran Tierra Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gran Tierra Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gran Tierra Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Gran Tierra Energy was previously known as GRAN TIERRA ENERGY and was traded on NYSEMKT Exchange under the symbol GTRE.
The company has 589.59 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.46, which is OK given its current industry classification. Gran Tierra Energy has a current ratio of 0.71, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Gran Tierra until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gran Tierra's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gran Tierra Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gran Tierra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gran Tierra's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
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Gran Tierra Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gran Tierra's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gran Tierra's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gran Tierra stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gran Tierra Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gran Tierra returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gran Tierra.
Mean Return-0.14Value At Risk-4.49
Potential Upside6.38Standard Deviation3.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gran Tierra historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gran Tierra Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gran Tierra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gran Tierra Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Gran Tierra's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gran Tierra's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Last TransactionTypeSharesValue
Gmt Capital Corp2022-12-31Common Shares22.5 M22.4 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2022-12-31Common Shares18.8 M18.6 M
Renaissance Technologies Llc2022-12-31Common Shares6.6 M6.5 M
Two Sigma Advisers Lp2022-12-31Common Shares5.5 M5.4 M
Connor Clark Lunn Investment Management Ltd2022-12-31Common Shares5.2 M5.2 M
Two Sigma Investments Lp2022-12-31Common Shares5.2 M5.1 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2022-12-31Common Shares4.6 M4.6 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2022-12-31Common Shares4.2 M4.2 M
Marshall Wace Llp2022-12-31Common Shares4 M4 M
Bridgeway Capital Management Llc2022-12-31Common Shares3.9 M3.8 M
Newgen Asset Management Ltd2022-03-31Common Shares2 M3.1 M
Note, although Gran Tierra's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Gran Tierra Cash Flow Accounts

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(400.29 M)(457.09 M)(96.28 M)(149.88 M)(236.6 M)(255.28 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion197.87 M225.03 M164.23 M139.87 M180.28 M167.3 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents27.63 M(43.23 M)6.45 M13.88 M101.95 M110 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(17.92 M)(11.31 M)(37.56 M)(27.32 M)(24.58 M)(25.23 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities139.69 M282.63 M70.45 M(124.91 M)(87.31 M)(89.6 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing128.38 M245.07 M70.45 M(124.81 M)(113.32 M)(116.3 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(382.59 M)(464.94 M)(144.92 M)(105.32 M)(210.33 M)(226.94 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations284.51 M177.66 M81.07 M244.83 M427.71 M354.42 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(2.67 M)(1.03 M)(156 K)(821 K)(2.1 M)(2.27 M)
Share Based Compensation8.3 M1.43 M1.22 M8.4 M9.05 M7.54 M
Backtest Gran Tierra Energy

Gran Tierra Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gran Tierra or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gran Tierra's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gran Tierra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite		-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.69
σ
Overall volatility		3.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Gran Tierra Volatility Alert

Gran Tierra Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.12 and kurtosis of 0.36. However, we advise investors to further study Gran Tierra Energy technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Gran Tierra Energy is a potential penny stock. Although Gran Tierra may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Gran Tierra Energy. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Gran Tierra instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Gran Tierra Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gran Tierra's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gran Tierra's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gran Tierra and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gran Tierra or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gran Tierra's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gran Tierra by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gran Tierra to competition
FundamentalsGran TierraPeer Average
Return On Equity0.39 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.14 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.41 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation780.68 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding346.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions37.73 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.28 M4.71 M
Price to Earning2.72 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.84 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.47 X11.42 X
Revenue711.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit538.81 M27.38 B
EBITDA294.96 M3.9 B
Net Income139.03 K570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents126.87 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt589.59 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity1.46 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.72 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations427.71 K971.22 M
Short Ratio0.33 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.39 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.23 X4.89 X
Target Price1.86
Number of Employees36318.84 K
Beta1.69-0.15
Market Capitalization262.41 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.34 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(267.14 M)9.33 B
Working Capital160.45 M1.48 B
   Acquisition by Lawrence West of 800097 shares of Gran Tierra subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Gran Tierra Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gran Tierra Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Gran Tierra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Receivables10.71 M10.99 M
Inventories8.14 M12.33 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Gran Tierra in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Climate Change
Climate Change Theme
Large and medium sized entities that are committing to fully or partially replace some traditional services or products with renewables sources of energy in order to combat global climate change. The Climate Change theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Climate Change Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Gran Tierra Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Gran Tierra Stock refer to our How to Trade Gran Tierra Stock guide. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Gran Tierra Energy price analysis, check to measure Gran Tierra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gran Tierra is operating at the current time. Most of Gran Tierra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gran Tierra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gran Tierra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gran Tierra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gran Tierra's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gran Tierra. If investors know Gran Tierra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gran Tierra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.44) 
Earnings Share
0.39
Revenue Per Share
1.952
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.112
Return On Assets
0.1441
The market value of Gran Tierra Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gran Tierra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gran Tierra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gran Tierra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gran Tierra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gran Tierra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Altman
Z Score
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Beneish
M Score
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Financial
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Buy or Sell
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Gran Tierra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gran Tierra value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gran Tierra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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