UGI Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| UGI Stock | USD 24.62 0.07 0.28% |
UGI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast UGI stock prices and determine the direction of UGI Corporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of UGI's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although UGI's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of UGI's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of UGI fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UGI to cross-verify your projections. UGI |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 UGI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast UGI's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in UGI's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for UGI stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current UGI's open interest, investors have to compare it to UGI's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of UGI is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in UGI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in UGI cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the UGI's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets UGI's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which UGI is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of UGI Corporation to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by UGI trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 100279.0 | 185016.0 |
| Check UGI Volatility | Backtest UGI | Trend Details |
UGI Trading Date Momentum
| On June 20 2023 UGI Corporation was traded for 26.08 at the closing time. Highest UGI's price during the trading hours was 27.63 and the lowest price during the day was 26.08 . The net volume was 1.8 M. The overall trading history on the 20th of June contributed to the next trading period price depreciation. The trading price change to the next next day price was 1.66% . The trading price change to current price is 2.26% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare UGI to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for UGI
For every potential investor in UGI, whether a beginner or expert, UGI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UGI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UGI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UGI's price trends.UGI Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UGI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UGI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UGI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UGI Corporation Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UGI's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UGI's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UGI Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UGI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UGI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UGI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UGI Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
UGI Risk Indicators
The analysis of UGI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UGI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ugi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether UGI Corporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UGI's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ugi Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ugi Corporation Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UGI to cross-verify your projections. Note that the UGI Corporation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UGI's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for UGI Stock analysis
When running UGI's price analysis, check to measure UGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UGI is operating at the current time. Most of UGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is UGI's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UGI. If investors know UGI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UGI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.51 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share (0.40) | Revenue Per Share 36.477 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of UGI Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UGI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UGI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UGI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UGI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UGI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UGI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UGI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UGI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.