Kohls Corp Stock Price Prediction
| KSS Stock | USD 24.28 0.61 2.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Kohls Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kohls Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kohls Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kohls Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kohls Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kohls Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kohls Corp's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.47 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.61 | Wall Street Target Price 25.17 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.28 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kohls Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kohls stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kohls Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Kohls Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kohls Corp from the perspective of Kohls Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kohls Corp using Kohls Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kohls using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kohls Corp's stock price.
Kohls Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kohls Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kohls. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kohls Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Kohls Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kohls Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kohls Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.1209 | Short Percent 0.377 | Short Ratio 4.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 27.7 M | 50 Day MA 26.134 |
Kohls Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kohls Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kohls. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kohls can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kohls Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kohls Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kohls Corp.
Kohls Corp Implied Volatility | 86.25 |
Kohls Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kohls Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kohls Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kohls Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kohls Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kohls Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kohls Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kohls because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kohls Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 24.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kohls contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kohls Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.39% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Kohls Corp trading at USD 24.28, that is roughly USD 1.31 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kohls Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kohls Corp options at the current volatility level of 86.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kohls |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kohls Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kohls Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kohls Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kohls Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kohls Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kohls Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kohls Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kohls Corp's historical news coverage. Kohls Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.04 and 27.32, respectively. We have considered Kohls Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kohls Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kohls Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kohls Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kohls Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kohls Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kohls Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.14 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 13 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.28 | 24.18 | 0.41 |
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Kohls Corp Hype Timeline
On the 26th of April Kohls Corp is traded for 24.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Kohls is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Kohls Corp is about 1539.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.25. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.65. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kohls Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 25th of April 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Kohls Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kohls Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kohls Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kohls Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Kohls Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kohls Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAKSY | Marks Spencer Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | (0.02) | 2.96 | (2.45) | 9.46 | |
| MAKSF | Marks and Spencer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.33 | (1.59) | 15.85 | |
| DDT | Dillards Capital Trust | (0.99) | 7 per month | 0.51 | (0.10) | 1.02 | (0.82) | 3.22 | |
| CBD | Companhia Brasileira de | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.58 | (7.14) | 19.67 | |
| PMDKF | PT Mitra Adiperkasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33 |
Kohls Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kohls price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kohls using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kohls charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kohls Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kohls Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kohls Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kohls Corp based on analysis of Kohls Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kohls Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kohls Corp's related companies. | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.063 | 0.0758 | 0.0261 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.43 |
Story Coverage note for Kohls Corp
The number of cover stories for Kohls Corp depends on current market conditions and Kohls Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kohls Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kohls Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kohls Corp Short Properties
Kohls Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kohls Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kohls Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kohls Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kohls Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 183 M |
Check out Kohls Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Kohls Stock please use our How to Invest in Kohls Corp guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Kohls Stock analysis
When running Kohls Corp's price analysis, check to measure Kohls Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kohls Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Kohls Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kohls Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kohls Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kohls Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kohls Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kohls Corp. If investors know Kohls will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kohls Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 2.85 | Revenue Per Share 158.873 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Kohls Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kohls that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kohls Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kohls Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kohls Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kohls Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kohls Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kohls Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kohls Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.