Industrial Logistics Properties Stock Price Prediction

ILPT Stock  USD 3.77  0.14  3.58%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Industrial Logistics' share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Industrial Logistics, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Industrial Logistics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Industrial Logistics Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Industrial Logistics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.565
Wall Street Target Price
9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.018
Using Industrial Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Industrial Logistics Properties from the perspective of Industrial Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Industrial Logistics using Industrial Logistics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Industrial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Industrial Logistics' stock price.

Industrial Logistics Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Industrial Logistics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Industrial Logistics Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Industrial Logistics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Industrial Logistics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Industrial Logistics' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Industrial Logistics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Industrial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Industrial Logistics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Industrial Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Industrial Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.604.738.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.837.96
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.837.508.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Industrial Logistics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Industrial Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Industrial Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Industrial Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Industrial Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Industrial Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Industrial Logistics' historical news coverage. Industrial Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 7.92, respectively. We have considered Industrial Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.77
3.79
After-hype Price
7.92
Upside
Industrial Logistics is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Industrial Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Industrial Logistics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Industrial Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Industrial Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Industrial Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
4.13
  0.02 
  0.02 
5 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.77
3.79
0.53 
1,180  
Notes

Industrial Logistics Hype Timeline

Industrial Logistics is currently traded for 3.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Industrial is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Industrial Logistics is about 1106.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.79. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 437.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (149.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 336.94 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Industrial Logistics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Industrial Logistics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Industrial Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Industrial Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Industrial Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Industrial Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TRNOTerreno Realty(0.14)10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.86 (3.83) 9.09 
LXPLXP Industrial Trust(0.06)7 per month 1.56  0.0009  1.94 (2.76) 8.48 
REXRRexford Industrial Realty 0.07 4 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.32 (3.44) 8.20 
INDTIndus Realty Trust(0.17)7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.15 (0.08) 0.48 
FRFirst Industrial Realty 0.57 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.57 (2.74) 8.48 
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT(0.35)7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.12 (2.62) 7.56 
SELFGlobal Self Storage 0.08 7 per month 1.09  0.07  2.66 (2.25) 31.34 
EGPEastGroup Properties 3.19 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.16 (2.81) 8.75 
COLDAmericold Realty Trust 0.17 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.66 (3.21) 10.36 

Industrial Logistics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Industrial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Industrial using various technical indicators. When you analyze Industrial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Industrial Logistics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Industrial Logistics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Industrial Logistics Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Industrial Logistics based on analysis of Industrial Logistics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Industrial Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Industrial Logistics's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05280.210.0085430.008115
Price To Sales Ratio7.420.550.70.67

Story Coverage note for Industrial Logistics

The number of cover stories for Industrial Logistics depends on current market conditions and Industrial Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Industrial Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Industrial Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Industrial Logistics Short Properties

Industrial Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Industrial Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Industrial Logistics Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Industrial Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Industrial Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.3 M

Additional Tools for Industrial Stock Analysis

When running Industrial Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Industrial Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrial Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Industrial Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrial Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrial Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrial Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.