Should I hold on to my CURO Group (NYSE:CURO) position?

Today's article will outline CURO Group. Why are we still confident in our hopes for a recovery. CURO Group Holdings is currently traded for 16.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.25. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.66. The firm is forecasted to increase in value after the next press release, with the price going to jump to 16.84. The latest volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 1.51%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.8%. Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next forecasted announcement will be in about 6 days.
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Curo Group | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. CURO Group has an asset utilization ratio of 108.91 percent. This suggests that the company is making $1.09 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that CURO Group Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 10.71 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is very large. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 21.44 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.21.
The successful prediction of Curo Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Curo Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Curo Group based on Curo Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Curo Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Curo Group's related companies.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Curo Group on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Curo Group is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other delisted stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Curo Group stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Curo Group stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

Use Technical Analysis to project Curo expected Price

Curo Group technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, delisted stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Curo Group technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Curo Group trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

A Deeper Perspective

This firm reported the previous year's revenue of 947.61 M. Net Income was 99.55 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 900.57 M.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Interest Expense82.7 M84.38 M69.76 M79.12 M
Gross Profit335.17 M325.47 M378.62 M381.19 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

CURO Group Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be quite stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue may rise above about 10.4 M this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. CURO Group Deferred Revenue is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Deferred Revenue is estimated at 10.38 Million
2010
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
201015.72 Million
201612.34 Million
201711.98 Million
20189.48 Million
201910.17 Million
202010.38 Million

Our perspective of the latest CURO Group rise

Latest Sortino Ratio is up to 0.04. Price may slide again. CURO Group Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect CURO Group Holdings further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of CURO Group future alpha.

Our Final Takeaway

Whereas some other firms under the credit services industry are still a bit expensive, CURO Group may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. While some institutional investors may not share our view we believe it may be a good time to exit CURO Group as the risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to hold a position. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to CURO Group.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Curo Group Holdings. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com