Is Origin Materials Stock a Good Investment?
Origin Materials Investment Advice | ORGN |
- Examine Origin Materials' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Origin Materials' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Origin Materials navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space and any emerging trends that could impact Origin Materials' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Origin Materials' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Origin Materials is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Origin Materials pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Origin Materials' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Origin Materials stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Origin Materials is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Examine Origin Materials Stock
Researching Origin Materials' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Origin Materials last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2020.
To determine if Origin Materials is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Origin Materials' research are outlined below:
| Origin Materials is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Origin Materials may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Origin Materials appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Origin Materials currently holds about 406.14 M in cash with (60.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.95, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Hickox John of 85144 shares of Origin Materials subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Origin Materials Quarterly Cost Of Revenue |
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Origin Materials uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Origin Materials. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Origin Materials' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 22nd of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 8th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 22nd of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Origin Materials' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Origin Materials' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007-03-13 | 2006-12-31 | 0.09 | 0.08 | -0.01 | 11 | ||
2006-11-02 | 2006-09-30 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 16 | ||
2006-05-09 | 2006-03-31 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 16 | ||
2006-08-07 | 2006-06-30 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 33 | ||
2004-08-03 | 2004-06-30 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 33 | ||
2007-08-06 | 2007-06-30 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 37 | ||
2004-11-12 | 2004-09-30 | 0.1 | 0.07 | -0.03 | 30 | ||
2007-05-08 | 2007-03-31 | 0.11 | 0.07 | -0.04 | 36 |
Know Origin Materials' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Origin Materials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Origin Materials backward and forwards among themselves. Origin Materials' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Origin Materials' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 472.1 K | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 427.9 K | Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 427.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 417.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 386.3 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 348 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 332.3 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 297.9 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 286.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.9 M |
Origin Materials' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 161.08 M. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Origin Materials's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Origin Materials's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Market Cap |
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Origin Materials' profitablity analysis
Origin Materials' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Origin Materials' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Origin Materials is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Origin Materials' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Origin Materials' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Origin Materials' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.12) | (0.13) | |
| Return On Assets | 0.05 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.06 | 0.06 |
Determining Origin Materials' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Origin Materials is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Origin Materials' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Origin Materials' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
The data published in Origin Materials' official financial statements usually reflect Origin Materials' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Origin Materials. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Origin accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Origin Materials' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Origin Materials' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Origin Materials' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Origin Materials' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Origin Materials. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Origin Materials' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Origin Materials' management efficiency
Origin Materials has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0718) % which means that it has lost $0.0718 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0595 %, meaning that it created $0.0595 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Origin Materials' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Origin Materials manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Origin Materials' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of May 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.05, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop (0.13). At this time, Origin Materials' Net Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of May 2024, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 8.8 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 433.6 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.02 | 2.87 | |
| Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 3.02 | 2.87 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (1.00) | (1.05) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.28 | 0.26 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (1.00) | (1.05) | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.28 | 0.26 | |
| Enterprise Value | 51.1 M | 48.5 M |
The analysis of Origin Materials' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Origin Materials' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Origin Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta 1.165 |
Basic technical analysis of Origin Stock
As of the 9th of May, Origin Materials holds the Semi Deviation of 5.85, coefficient of variation of 587.96, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1146. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Materials, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Origin Materials, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Origin Materials downside deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and downside variance to decide if Origin Materials is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.21 per share. Given that Origin Materials is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its total risk alpha.Origin Materials' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Origin Materials insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Origin Materials' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Origin Materials insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Understand Origin Materials' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Origin Materials' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1146 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (2.39) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 6.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.85 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 587.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.6 | |||
| Variance | 73.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1599 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.5 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3727 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1975 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.40) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 18.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 48.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5982 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2786 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1146 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (2.39) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 6.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.85 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 587.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.6 | |||
| Variance | 73.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1599 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.5 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3727 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1975 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.40) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 18.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 48.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5982 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2786 |
Consider Origin Materials' intraday indicators
Origin Materials intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Origin Materials stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Origin Materials time-series forecasting models is one of many Origin Materials' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Origin Materials' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Origin Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Origin Materials that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Origin media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Origin internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Origin data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Origin Materials news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Origin Materials relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Origin Materials' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Origin Materials alpha.
Origin Materials Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Origin Materials can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Be your own money manager
Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Origin Materials without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.Did you try this?
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Origin Materials Corporate Management
Elected by the shareholders, the Origin Materials' board of directors comprises two types of representatives: Origin Materials inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of Origin. The board's role is to monitor Origin Materials' management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. Origin Materials' inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, Origin Materials' outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.
| John Bissell | CoCEO CoFounder | Profile | |
| Christopher WilliamsCampbell | VP HR | Profile | |
| Joshua Lee | General Secretary | Profile | |
| Nate Whaley | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Ryan Smith | CoFounder CTO | Profile | |
| Stephen Galowitz | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Mako Masuno | Chief Scientist | Profile |
How to buy Origin Stock?
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Origin Materials stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Origin Materials. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Origin Materials in one of your diversified portfolios:- Examine Origin Materials' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Origin Materials' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Origin Materials navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space and any emerging trends that could impact Origin Materials' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Origin Materials' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Origin Materials is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Origin Materials pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Origin Materials' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Origin Materials stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Origin Materials is a good investment.
Already Invested in Origin Materials?
The danger of trading Origin Materials is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Origin Materials is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Origin Materials. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Origin Materials is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Origin Materials offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Origin Materials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Origin Materials Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Origin Materials Stock: Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Materials. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. To learn how to invest in Origin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Origin Materials guide.Note that the Origin Materials information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Materials' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis
When running Origin Materials' price analysis, check to measure Origin Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Materials is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Origin Materials' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Materials. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Materials listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.667 | Earnings Share 0.17 | Revenue Per Share 0.206 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity 0.0595 |
The market value of Origin Materials is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Materials' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Materials' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Materials' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Materials' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Origin Materials' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Origin Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.