Bio Path Holdings Stock Market Value

BPTH Stock  USD 1.91  0.12  5.91%   
Bio Path's market value is the price at which a share of Bio Path trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bio Path Holdings investors about its performance. Bio Path is trading at 1.91 as of the 29th of May 2024. This is a -5.91% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.03.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bio Path Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bio Path over a given investment horizon. Check out Bio Path Correlation, Bio Path Volatility and Bio Path Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bio Path.
Symbol

Bio Path Holdings Price To Book Ratio

Is Bio Path's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bio Path. If investors know Bio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bio Path listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(23.39)
Return On Assets
(1.38)
Return On Equity
(4.31)
The market value of Bio Path Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bio Path's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bio Path's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bio Path's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bio Path's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bio Path's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bio Path is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bio Path's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bio Path 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bio Path's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bio Path.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
05/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bio Path on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bio Path Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bio Path over 90 days. Bio Path is related to or competes with Transcode Therapeutics, Cardio Diagnostics, MicroAlgo, Morningstar Unconstrained, T Rowe, Nt International, and Malaga Financial. Bio-Path Holdings, Inc. operates as a clinical and preclinical stage oncology focused RNAi nano particle drug developmen... More

Bio Path Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bio Path's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bio Path Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bio Path Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bio Path's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bio Path's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bio Path historical prices to predict the future Bio Path's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bio Path's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.769.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.4112.40
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.06-2.06-2.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bio Path. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bio Path's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bio Path's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bio Path Holdings.

Bio Path Holdings Backtested Returns

Bio Path Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.19, which signifies that the company had a -0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bio Path Holdings exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bio Path's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), standard deviation of 8.22, and Mean Deviation of 5.73 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.97, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Bio Path are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Bio Path is expected to outperform it slightly. Bio Path Holdings has an expected return of -1.52%. Please make sure to confirm Bio Path Holdings information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Bio Path Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Bio Path Holdings has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bio Path time series from 29th of February 2024 to 14th of April 2024 and 14th of April 2024 to 29th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bio Path Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Bio Path price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28

Bio Path Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bio Path stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bio Path's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bio Path returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bio Path has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bio Path regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bio Path stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bio Path stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bio Path stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bio Path Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bio Path's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bio Path stock have on its future price. Bio Path autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bio Path autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bio Path stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bio Path Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Bio Path Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bio Path's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bio Path Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bio Path Holdings Stock:
Check out Bio Path Correlation, Bio Path Volatility and Bio Path Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bio Path.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Bio Path's price analysis, check to measure Bio Path's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bio Path is operating at the current time. Most of Bio Path's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bio Path's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bio Path's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bio Path to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Bio Path technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bio Path technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bio Path trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...