Aggressive Growth Fund Market Value

USAUX Fund  USD 64.32  0.38  0.59%   
Aggressive Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Aggressive Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aggressive Growth Fund investors about its performance. Aggressive Growth is trading at 64.32 as of the 15th of June 2024; that is 0.59% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 63.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aggressive Growth Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aggressive Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Aggressive Growth Correlation, Aggressive Growth Volatility and Aggressive Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aggressive Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aggressive Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aggressive Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aggressive Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aggressive Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aggressive Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aggressive Growth.
0.00
03/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
06/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aggressive Growth on March 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aggressive Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aggressive Growth over 90 days. Aggressive Growth is related to or competes with Income Fund, Usaa Nasdaq, Victory Diversified, Intermediate Term, Usaa Intermediate, Usaa Tax, and Victory Tax-exempt. The fund invests primarily in equity securities of large-capitalization companies that are selected for their growth pot... More

Aggressive Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aggressive Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aggressive Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aggressive Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aggressive Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aggressive Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aggressive Growth historical prices to predict the future Aggressive Growth's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aggressive Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.2964.3265.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.8968.8869.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.5065.5366.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.8460.1764.50
Details

Aggressive Growth Backtested Returns

We consider Aggressive Growth very steady. Aggressive Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which signifies that the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Aggressive Growth Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Aggressive Growth's risk adjusted performance of 0.0726, and Mean Deviation of 0.773 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Aggressive Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aggressive Growth is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Aggressive Growth Fund has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aggressive Growth time series from 17th of March 2024 to 1st of May 2024 and 1st of May 2024 to 15th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aggressive Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Aggressive Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.02

Aggressive Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aggressive Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aggressive Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aggressive Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aggressive Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aggressive Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aggressive Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aggressive Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aggressive Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aggressive Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aggressive Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aggressive Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Aggressive Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aggressive Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aggressive Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aggressive Growth Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aggressive Mutual Fund

Aggressive Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aggressive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aggressive with respect to the benefits of owning Aggressive Growth security.
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