Barnes Stock Future Price Prediction

B Stock  USD 45.88  0.22  0.48%   
Barnes Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Barnes shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Barnes' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Barnes and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Barnes' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barnes Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Barnes based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Barnes stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Barnes over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.94
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.16
Wall Street Target Price
40.33
Using Barnes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barnes Group from the perspective of Barnes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Barnes using Barnes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Barnes using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Barnes' stock price.
Barnes Interest Coverage is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 8.33. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 0.42, whereas Cash Flow Per Share is forecasted to decline to 2.92.

Barnes Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Barnes' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Barnes. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Barnes stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Barnes may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Barnes and may potentially protect profits, hedge Barnes with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
35.5742
Short Percent
0.0222
Short Ratio
4.4
Shares Short Prior Month
788.5 K
50 Day MA
41.8462

Barnes Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Barnes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Barnes. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Barnes can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Barnes Group. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Barnes' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Barnes.

Barnes Implied Volatility

    
  15.01  
Barnes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Barnes Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Barnes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Barnes stock will not fluctuate a lot when Barnes' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Barnes. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Barnes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Barnes because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Barnes after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 45.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barnes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Barnes in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
41.2951.0052.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
43.9945.5947.20
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0050.3355.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.6045.8146.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barnes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barnes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barnes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Barnes Group.

Barnes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Barnes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barnes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Barnes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Barnes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Barnes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barnes' historical news coverage. Barnes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.20 and 47.40, respectively. We have considered Barnes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 45.88
45.80
After-hype Price
47.40
Upside
Barnes is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barnes Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barnes Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Barnes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barnes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barnes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.33  1.60   0.08   0.10  11 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.8845.800.17 
695.65  

Barnes Hype Timeline

As of February 5, 2023 Barnes Group is listed for 45.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Barnes is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 45.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.17% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Barnes is about 547.01% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 45.98. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Barnes Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of June 2006. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Continue to Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barnes Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Barnes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barnes' future price movements. Getting to know how Barnes rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barnes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Barnes Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Barnes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barnes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barnes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Barnes Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Barnes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Barnes Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Barnes based on analysis of Barnes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Barnes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Barnes's related companies.
 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.510.38
Interest Coverage7.748.33

Story Coverage note for Barnes

The number of cover stories for Barnes depends on current market conditions and Barnes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barnes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barnes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Barnes Short Properties

Barnes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Barnes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barnes Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barnes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barnes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments102.9 M
Continue to Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Barnes Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Barnes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Barnes Stock analysis

When running Barnes Group price analysis, check to measure Barnes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barnes is operating at the current time. Most of Barnes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barnes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barnes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barnes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Barnes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnes. If investors know Barnes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40) 
Market Capitalization
2.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.032) 
Return On Assets
0.0381
Return On Equity
0.0196
The market value of Barnes Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Barnes value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.