Progressive Corp Stock Analysis

PGR Stock  USD 203.60  1.16  0.57%   
Progressive Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 181.11 and Target Price of 155.87. The main objective of Progressive Corp stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Progressive Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Progressive Corp's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Progressive Corp stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Progressive Corp is usually not traded on Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day. Progressive Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Progressive Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Progressive Stock, please use our How to Invest in Progressive Corp guide.

Progressive Stock Analysis Notes

About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.48. Progressive Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.78. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2024. The firm had 4:1 split on the 19th of May 2006. The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides personal and commercial auto, personal residential and commercial property, general liability, and other specialty property-casualty insurance products and related services in the United States. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio. Progressive Corp operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 49077 people. To find out more about Progressive Corp contact Susan Griffith at 440 461 5000 or learn more at https://www.progressive.com.

Progressive Corp Investment Alerts

Progressive Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Progressive Corp has 7.07 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Progressive to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Progressive Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Progressive Stock Dips While Market Gains Key Facts

Progressive Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

11th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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11th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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22nd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Progressive Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Progressive Corp's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2000-11-15
2000-09-300.030.040.0133 
2000-07-20
2000-06-300.020.01-0.0150 
2000-01-27
1999-12-310.020.01-0.0150 
View All Earnings Estimates

Progressive Corp Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Progressive Corp's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Progressive Corp's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Progressive Corp's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Progressive Corp's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Progressive Corp Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Progressive Corp stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
FinTech Idea
FinTech
A collection of large financial service, investment, and banking companies

Progressive Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-03-31
8.2 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-03-31
M
Capital World Investors2024-03-31
6.8 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
6.8 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-03-31
6.7 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-03-31
5.7 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-03-31
5.6 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-03-31
5.6 M
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-03-31
5.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-03-31
51.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-03-31
48.3 M
Note, although Progressive Corp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Progressive Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 119.25 B.

Progressive Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.09 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.17 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.17 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.93  0.98 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.21 

Management Efficiency

Progressive Corp has Return on Asset of 0.0542 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0542 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2992 %, implying that it generated $0.2992 on every 100 dollars invested. Progressive Corp's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Progressive Corp manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Progressive Corp's Return On Capital Employed is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 06/14/2024, Return On Equity is likely to grow to 0.21, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.04. At this time, Progressive Corp's Fixed Asset Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 34.67  36.40 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 31.39  32.96 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 334.10  350.80 
Price Book Value Ratio 4.59  2.37 
Enterprise Value Multiple 334.10  350.80 
Price Fair Value 4.59  2.37 
Enterprise Value13.2 B13.8 B
The analysis of Progressive Corp's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Progressive Corp's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Progressive Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.002
Operating Margin
0.1746
Profit Margin
0.089
Forward Dividend Yield
0.002
Beta
0.351

Technical Drivers

As of the 14th of June 2024, Progressive Corp holds the Semi Deviation of 1.21, risk adjusted performance of 0.0316, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2317.9. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Progressive Corp, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Progressive Corp variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Progressive Corp is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 203.6 per share. Given that Progressive Corp has jensen alpha of 0.0444, we recommend you to check out Progressive Corp's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Progressive Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Progressive Corp middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Progressive Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Progressive Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Progressive Corp insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Progressive Corp's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Progressive Corp insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Progressive Corp Outstanding Bonds

Progressive Corp issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Progressive Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Progressive bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Progressive Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Progressive Corp Predictive Daily Indicators

Progressive Corp intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Progressive Corp stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Progressive Corp Corporate Filings

F4
30th of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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17th of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
16th of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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8K
15th of May 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
14th of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of May 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
1st of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
19th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Progressive Corp Forecast Models

Progressive Corp's time-series forecasting models are one of many Progressive Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Progressive Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Progressive Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Progressive Corp prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Progressive shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Progressive Corp. By using and applying Progressive Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Progressive entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.82  0.86 
Net Profit Margin 0.06  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.90  0.80 

Current Progressive Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Progressive analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Progressive analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
155.87Buy21Odds
Progressive Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Progressive analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Progressive stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Progressive Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Progressive conference calls.
Progressive Analyst Advice Details

Progressive Stock Analysis Indicators

Progressive Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Progressive Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Progressive Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Progressive Corp stock analysis, traders can identify Progressive Corp position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow220.9 M
Long Term Debt6.9 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding587.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity20.3 B
Tax Provision684.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y4.253
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments62.3 B
Cash99.6 M
Net DebtB
50 Day M A209.4768
Total Current Liabilities29.6 B
Other Operating Expenses56.9 B
Non Current Assets Total60.5 B
Forward Price Earnings21.2766
Non Currrent Assets Other-8.7 B
Stock Based Compensation121.3 M

Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis

When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.