Amtrust Financial Services Stock Volatility
| AFSIN Stock | USD 13.60 0.25 1.87% |
As of now, AmTrust Pink Sheet is not too volatile. AmTrust Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0493, which signifies that the company had a 0.0493% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for AmTrust Financial Services, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AmTrust Financial's mean deviation of 1.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.068 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Key indicators related to AmTrust Financial's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
AmTrust Financial Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of AmTrust daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use AmTrust's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of AmTrust Financial volatility.
AmTrust |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as AmTrust Financial can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of AmTrust Financial at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase AmTrust stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of AmTrust Financial's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with AmTrust Pink Sheet
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| 0.69 | CB | Chubb | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | TRV | The Travelers Companies Fiscal Year End 17th of January 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | ALL | Allstate | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | TKOMY | Tokio Marine Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | ALL-PH | Allstate | PairCorr |
Moving against AmTrust Pink Sheet
AmTrust Financial Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
AmTrust Financial's beta coefficient measures the volatility of AmTrust pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents AmTrust pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, AmTrust Financial's beta of 0.28 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk AmTrust Financial pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. AmTrust Financial Services shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AmTrust Financial's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AmTrust Financial's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze AmTrust Financial Demand TrendCheck current 90 days AmTrust Financial correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)AmTrust Beta |
AmTrust standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.5 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by AmTrust Financial's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of AmTrust Financial's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in amtrust pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in AmTrust Financial.
AmTrust Financial Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which AmTrust Financial pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with AmTrust Financial's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of AmTrust Financial's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of AmTrust Financial's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures AmTrust Financial's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict AmTrust Financial's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for AmTrust Financial's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on AmTrust Financial's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. AmTrust Financial Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
AmTrust Financial Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial has a beta of 0.2758 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, AmTrust Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AmTrust Financial Services will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AmTrust Financial or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AmTrust Financial's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AmTrust pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
AmTrust Financial Services has an alpha of 0.1477, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an AmTrust Financial Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.AmTrust Financial Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of AmTrust Financial is 2027.77. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.23 and standard deviation of 2.5. The mean deviation of AmTrust Financial Services is currently at 1.43. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
AmTrust Financial Pink Sheet Return Volatility
AmTrust Financial historical daily return volatility represents how much of AmTrust Financial pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm shows 2.4963% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8215% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About AmTrust Financial Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of AmTrust Financial or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of AmTrust Financial may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to AmTrust's beta indicator, it measures the risk of AmTrust Financial and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of AmTrust Financial fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. operates as a property and casualty company. It was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Amtrust Financial operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 9300 people.
AmTrust Financial's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on AmTrust Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much AmTrust Financial's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize AmTrust Financial's volatility to invest better
Higher AmTrust Financial's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of AmTrust Financial stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. AmTrust Financial stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of AmTrust Financial investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in AmTrust Financial's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of AmTrust Financial's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
AmTrust Financial Investment Opportunity
AmTrust Financial Services has a volatility of 2.5 and is 3.05 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than AmTrust Financial. You can use AmTrust Financial Services to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of AmTrust Financial to be traded at $14.96 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between AmTrust Financial Services and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AmTrust Financial Services and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
AmTrust Financial Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of AmTrust Financial's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AmTrust Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of AmTrust Financial pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.068 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.6597 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1321.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.5 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
AmTrust Financial Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against AmTrust Financial as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. AmTrust Financial's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, AmTrust Financial's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AmTrust Financial Services.
Other Information on Investing in AmTrust Pink Sheet
AmTrust Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AmTrust Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AmTrust with respect to the benefits of owning AmTrust Financial security.