Capstone Green Energy Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.2

CGRNDelisted Stock  USD 0.20  0.05  20.00%   
Capstone Green's future price is the expected price of Capstone Green instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capstone Green Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Please specify Capstone Green's target price for which you would like Capstone Green odds to be computed.

Capstone Green Target Price Odds to finish over 0.2

The tendency of Capstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.20 
about 89.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capstone Green to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.74 (This Capstone Green Energy probability density function shows the probability of Capstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Capstone Green Energy has a beta of -6.8 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Capstone Green Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Capstone Green is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Capstone Green Energy has an alpha of 1.6753, implying that it can generate a 1.68 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capstone Green Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capstone Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capstone Green Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capstone Green's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.190.190.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.230.230.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.250.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capstone Green. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capstone Green's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capstone Green's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capstone Green Energy.

Capstone Green Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capstone Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capstone Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capstone Green Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capstone Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
1.68
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-6.8
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Capstone Green Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capstone Green for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capstone Green Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capstone Green is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Capstone Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Capstone Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 69.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.33 M.
Capstone Green Energy currently holds about 16.91 M in cash with (27.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Capstone Green Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capstone Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capstone Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.6 M

Capstone Green Technical Analysis

Capstone Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capstone Green Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capstone Green Predictive Forecast Models

Capstone Green's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capstone Green's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capstone Green's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capstone Green Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capstone Green for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capstone Green Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capstone Green is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Capstone Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Capstone Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 69.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.33 M.
Capstone Green Energy currently holds about 16.91 M in cash with (27.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Other Consideration for investing in Capstone Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Capstone Green Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Capstone Green's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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