Capstone Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.03

CGRN Stock  USD 2.03  0.07  3.57%   
Capstone Green's future price is the expected price of Capstone Green instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capstone Green Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Capstone Green Price to Book Value is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Price to Book Value is estimated at 11.28. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 1.03 this year, although the value of Price to Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to (3.73) .
  
Capstone Green's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Capstone Green Energy. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Capstone Green based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Capstone Green Energy over a specific time period. For example, 2023-02-17 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on Capstone Green's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2023-02-17. The contract was last traded on 2023-01-18 at 13:10:14 for $0.5 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $1.1. The implied volatility as of the 27th of January is 142.1618. View All Capstone options

Closest to current price Capstone long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Capstone Green Backtesting, Capstone Green Valuation, Capstone Green Correlation, Capstone Green Hype Analysis, Capstone Green Volatility, Capstone Green History as well as Capstone Green Performance. Please specify Capstone Green time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Capstone Green odds to be computed.

Capstone Green Target Price Odds to finish over 2.03

The tendency of Capstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.03 90 days 2.03 
about 17.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capstone Green to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.88 (This Capstone Green Energy probability density function shows the probability of Capstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.6 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Capstone Green will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Capstone Green Energy is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Capstone Green Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capstone Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capstone Green Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capstone Green's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Capstone Green in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.101.996.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.514.728.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.03381.695.90
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0013.3316.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capstone Green. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capstone Green's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capstone Green's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Capstone Green Energy.

Capstone Green Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capstone Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capstone Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capstone Green Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capstone Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.015068

Capstone Green Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capstone Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capstone Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.6 M

Capstone Green Technical Analysis

Capstone Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capstone Green Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capstone Green Predictive Forecast Models

Capstone Green time-series forecasting models is one of many Capstone Green's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Capstone Green's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capstone Green in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capstone Green's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capstone Green options trading.
Continue to Capstone Green Backtesting, Capstone Green Valuation, Capstone Green Correlation, Capstone Green Hype Analysis, Capstone Green Volatility, Capstone Green History as well as Capstone Green Performance. You can also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running Capstone Green Energy price analysis, check to measure Capstone Green's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capstone Green is operating at the current time. Most of Capstone Green's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capstone Green's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capstone Green's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capstone Green to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Capstone Green's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capstone Green. If investors know Capstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capstone Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
36.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.208
Return On Assets
(0.07) 
Return On Equity
(1.66) 
The market value of Capstone Green Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capstone Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capstone Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capstone Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capstone Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capstone Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capstone Green value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capstone Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.