Fathom Digital Manufacturing Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.81
| FATH Stock | USD 5.10 0.01 0.20% |
Fathom |
Fathom Digital Target Price Odds to finish over 4.81
The tendency of Fathom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.81 in 90 days |
| 5.10 | 90 days | 4.81 | about 14.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fathom Digital to stay above $ 4.81 in 90 days from now is about 14.92 (This Fathom Digital Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of Fathom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fathom Digital Manuf price to stay between $ 4.81 and its current price of $5.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fathom Digital has a beta of 1.0. This usually indicates Fathom Digital Manufacturing market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fathom Digital is expected to follow. Additionally Fathom Digital Manufacturing has an alpha of 0.207, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fathom Digital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fathom Digital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fathom Digital Manuf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fathom Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fathom Digital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fathom Digital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fathom Digital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fathom Digital Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fathom Digital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Fathom Digital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fathom Digital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fathom Digital Manuf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fathom Digital Manuf had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fathom Digital Manuf has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 171.11 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fathom Digital Manuf has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Fathom Digital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fathom Digital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fathom Digital Manuf sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fathom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fathom Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Fathom Digital Manufacturing currently holds about 11.12 M in cash with (1.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Fathom Digital Manuf has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of Fathom Digital shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 19396 shares by Robert Nardelli of Fathom Digital subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Fathom Digital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fathom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fathom Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fathom Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 M |
Fathom Digital Technical Analysis
Fathom Digital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fathom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fathom Digital Manufacturing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fathom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fathom Digital Predictive Forecast Models
Fathom Digital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fathom Digital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fathom Digital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fathom Digital Manuf
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fathom Digital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fathom Digital Manuf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fathom Digital Manuf had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fathom Digital Manuf has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 171.11 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Fathom Digital Manuf has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Fathom Digital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fathom Digital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fathom Digital Manuf sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fathom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fathom Digital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Fathom Digital Manufacturing currently holds about 11.12 M in cash with (1.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Fathom Digital Manuf has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 60.0% of Fathom Digital shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 19396 shares by Robert Nardelli of Fathom Digital subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Fathom Digital Backtesting, Fathom Digital Valuation, Fathom Digital Correlation, Fathom Digital Hype Analysis, Fathom Digital Volatility, Fathom Digital History as well as Fathom Digital Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Fathom Stock analysis
When running Fathom Digital's price analysis, check to measure Fathom Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fathom Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Fathom Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fathom Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fathom Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fathom Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fathom Digital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fathom Digital. If investors know Fathom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fathom Digital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share 2.35 | Revenue Per Share 37.905 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Fathom Digital Manuf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fathom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fathom Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fathom Digital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fathom Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fathom Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fathom Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fathom Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fathom Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.