Greenbrier Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.05
| GBX Stock | USD 52.82 1.17 2.27% |
Closest to current price Greenbrier long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Greenbrier |
Greenbrier Companies Target Price Odds to finish over 45.05
The tendency of Greenbrier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 45.05 in 90 days |
| 52.82 | 90 days | 45.05 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greenbrier Companies to stay above $ 45.05 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Greenbrier Companies probability density function shows the probability of Greenbrier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greenbrier Companies price to stay between $ 45.05 and its current price of $52.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.57 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Greenbrier Companies has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Greenbrier Companies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greenbrier Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greenbrier Companies has an alpha of 0.1729, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Greenbrier Companies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Greenbrier Companies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greenbrier Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greenbrier Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greenbrier Companies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greenbrier Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greenbrier Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greenbrier Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greenbrier Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Greenbrier Companies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greenbrier Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greenbrier Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Union Pacific courts industrial takers after buying rail-served KC complex |
Greenbrier Companies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greenbrier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greenbrier Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greenbrier Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.7 M |
Greenbrier Companies Technical Analysis
Greenbrier Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greenbrier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greenbrier Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greenbrier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Greenbrier Companies Predictive Forecast Models
Greenbrier Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Greenbrier Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greenbrier Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Greenbrier Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Greenbrier Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greenbrier Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Union Pacific courts industrial takers after buying rail-served KC complex |
Check out Greenbrier Companies Backtesting, Greenbrier Companies Valuation, Greenbrier Companies Correlation, Greenbrier Companies Hype Analysis, Greenbrier Companies Volatility, Greenbrier Companies History as well as Greenbrier Companies Performance. For more information on how to buy Greenbrier Stock please use our How to Invest in Greenbrier Companies guide.Note that the Greenbrier Companies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Greenbrier Companies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Greenbrier Stock analysis
When running Greenbrier Companies' price analysis, check to measure Greenbrier Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenbrier Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Greenbrier Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenbrier Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenbrier Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenbrier Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Greenbrier Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greenbrier Companies. If investors know Greenbrier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greenbrier Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.063 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 3.39 | Revenue Per Share 119.488 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
The market value of Greenbrier Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greenbrier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greenbrier Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greenbrier Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greenbrier Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greenbrier Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greenbrier Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greenbrier Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greenbrier Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.