Idt Corporation Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.75
| IDT Stock | USD 41.34 0.57 1.40% |
Closest to current price IDT long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
IDT |
IDT Target Price Odds to finish below 37.75
The tendency of IDT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.75 or more in 90 days |
| 41.34 | 90 days | 37.75 | about 51.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IDT to drop to $ 37.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 51.5 (This IDT Corporation probability density function shows the probability of IDT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IDT Corporation price to stay between $ 37.75 and its current price of $41.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.91 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon IDT has a beta of 0.51. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IDT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IDT Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IDT Corporation has an alpha of 0.2029, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IDT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IDT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDT Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IDT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IDT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IDT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IDT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IDT Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IDT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
IDT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IDT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IDT Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IDT Corporation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| IDT Corporation has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Panagora Asset Management Inc. Has 995000 Stake in IDT Co. - Defense World |
IDT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IDT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IDT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IDT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.2 M |
IDT Technical Analysis
IDT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IDT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IDT Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing IDT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IDT Predictive Forecast Models
IDT's time-series forecasting models is one of many IDT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IDT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IDT Corporation
Checking the ongoing alerts about IDT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IDT Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IDT Corporation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| IDT Corporation has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Panagora Asset Management Inc. Has 995000 Stake in IDT Co. - Defense World |
Check out IDT Backtesting, IDT Valuation, IDT Correlation, IDT Hype Analysis, IDT Volatility, IDT History as well as IDT Performance. Note that the IDT Corporation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IDT's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for IDT Stock analysis
When running IDT's price analysis, check to measure IDT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IDT is operating at the current time. Most of IDT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IDT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IDT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IDT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine |
Is IDT's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IDT. If investors know IDT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IDT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.45 | Revenue Per Share 47.396 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0774 | Return On Equity 0.1877 |
The market value of IDT Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IDT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IDT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IDT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IDT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IDT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IDT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IDT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IDT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.