Welltower Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 99.96

WELL Stock  USD 99.96  1.91  1.87%   
Welltower's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Welltower. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Welltower based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Welltower over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $100.0 is a CALL option contract on Welltower's common stock with a strick price of 100.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-23 at 09:36:50 for $3.1 and, as of today, has 28 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.85, and an ask price of $2.25. The implied volatility as of the 24th of May is 17.77. View All Welltower options

Closest to current price Welltower long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Welltower's future price is the expected price of Welltower instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Welltower performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Welltower Backtesting, Welltower Valuation, Welltower Correlation, Welltower Hype Analysis, Welltower Volatility, Welltower History as well as Welltower Performance.
For more information on how to buy Welltower Stock please use our How to buy in Welltower Stock guide.
  
At this time, Welltower's Price Cash Flow Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 8.37 this year, although the value of Price To Book Ratio will most likely fall to 1.08. Please specify Welltower's target price for which you would like Welltower odds to be computed.

Welltower Target Price Odds to finish over 99.96

The tendency of Welltower Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 99.96 90 days 99.96 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Welltower to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Welltower probability density function shows the probability of Welltower Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This entails Welltower market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Welltower is expected to follow. Additionally Welltower has an alpha of 0.0542, implying that it can generate a 0.0542 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Welltower Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Welltower

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Welltower. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Welltower's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.8499.81100.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.6781.64109.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.5899.55100.52
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
81.2789.3199.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Welltower. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Welltower's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Welltower's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Welltower.

Welltower Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Welltower is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Welltower's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Welltower, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Welltower within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Welltower Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Welltower for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Welltower can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of May 2024 Welltower paid $ 0.61 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Ayesha Menon of 4727 shares of Welltower subject to Rule 16b-3

Welltower Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Welltower Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Welltower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Welltower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding518.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Welltower Technical Analysis

Welltower's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Welltower Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Welltower. In general, you should focus on analyzing Welltower Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Welltower Predictive Forecast Models

Welltower's time-series forecasting models is one of many Welltower's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Welltower's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Welltower

Checking the ongoing alerts about Welltower for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Welltower help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of May 2024 Welltower paid $ 0.61 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Ayesha Menon of 4727 shares of Welltower subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Welltower is a strong investment it is important to analyze Welltower's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Welltower's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Welltower Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Welltower Backtesting, Welltower Valuation, Welltower Correlation, Welltower Hype Analysis, Welltower Volatility, Welltower History as well as Welltower Performance.
For more information on how to buy Welltower Stock please use our How to buy in Welltower Stock guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Welltower's price analysis, check to measure Welltower's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Welltower is operating at the current time. Most of Welltower's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Welltower's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Welltower's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Welltower to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Welltower's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Welltower. If investors know Welltower will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Welltower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.231
Dividend Share
2.44
Earnings Share
0.86
Revenue Per Share
12.939
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.192
The market value of Welltower is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Welltower that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Welltower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Welltower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Welltower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Welltower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Welltower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Welltower is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Welltower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.