Post Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| POST Stock | USD 106.81 1.14 1.08% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Post Holdings is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Post Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding POST positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Post Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Post Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 85.2 | Target Price 105 | Hype Value 106.81 | Market Value 106.81 | Naive Value 105.15 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Post Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Post Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Post Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Post |
Execute Post Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Post recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Post Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Post Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Post Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Post Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Post Holdings is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term |
Post Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Post Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Post Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Post Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Post Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Post Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Post Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -1.33 | Potential Upside | 1.70 | Standard Deviation | 0.94 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Post Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Post Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Post Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Post Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Post Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Post Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 869.6 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 784.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 724.6 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 564.3 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 553.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 470.2 K | Armistice Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 461.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5 M |
Post Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 138.9M | (369.2M) | (81.5M) | (1.1B) | (956.7M) | (908.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 391M | 395.7M | 128.9M | 447.3M | 514.4M | 268.9M | |
| Depreciation | 370.3M | 420.2M | 380.2M | 407.1M | 468.2M | 491.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 230.7M | (37.6M) | (737.9M) | 37.8M | 34.0M | 60.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 234.6M | 192.5M | 255.3M | 303M | 348.5M | 365.9M | |
| Net Income | 29M | 206.7M | 742.5M | 312.9M | 359.8M | 377.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.2B | 824.2M | 590.1M | (472.9M) | (543.8M) | (516.6M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (4.6M) | 54.5M | (86.8M) | (31.9M) | (28.7M) | (27.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (186M) | (84.8M) | 801.7M | 223.1M | 200.8M | 190.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 236.8M | 77.4M | (544.9M) | 32.4M | 29.2M | 44.1M | |
| Investments | 52.7M | 7.1M | (9M) | (669.3M) | (769.7M) | (808.2M) |
Post Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Post Holdings or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Post Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Post stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Post Holdings Volatility Alert
Post Holdings has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.0, Maximum Drawdown of 4.16 and kurtosis of 0.44. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Post Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Post Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Post Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Post Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Post Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Post Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Post Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Post Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Post Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Post Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Post Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0897 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0419 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.56 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 60.59 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 18.52 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.15 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.65 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.65 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.99 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.88 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 809.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 312.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 747.4 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.51 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.04 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.65 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.02 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 65.70 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 750.3 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.75 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.19 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 119.56 | |
| Number Of Employees | 11.43 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.6 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.47 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.65 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.42 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 673.2 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Dorothy Burwell of 104 shares of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Post Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Post . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Post Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Post Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Post Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 3.3B | 3.8B | 4.4B | 2.5B | Total Assets | 11.3B | 11.6B | 13.4B | 8.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Post Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Post Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Post Stock please use our How to Invest in Post Holdings guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
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When running Post Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Post Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Post Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Post Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Post Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Post Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Post Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Post Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Post Holdings. If investors know Post will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Post Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.613 | Earnings Share 5.21 | Revenue Per Share 127.581 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.234 | Return On Assets 0.0419 |
The market value of Post Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Post that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Post Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Post Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Post Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Post Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Post Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Post Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Post Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.