First Commonwealth Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| FCF Stock | USD 13.67 0.10 0.73% |
First Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast First Commonwealth stock prices and determine the direction of First Commonwealth Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Commonwealth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although First Commonwealth's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of First Commonwealth's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of First Commonwealth fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Commonwealth to cross-verify your projections. First |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 First Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast First Commonwealth's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in First Commonwealth's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for First Commonwealth stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current First Commonwealth's open interest, investors have to compare it to First Commonwealth's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of First Commonwealth is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in First. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in First Commonwealth cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the First Commonwealth's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets First Commonwealth's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which First Commonwealth is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of First Commonwealth Financial to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by First Commonwealth trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 12339.16 | 13628.24 |
| Check First Commonwealth Volatility | Backtest First Commonwealth | Trend Details |
First Commonwealth Trading Date Momentum
| On April 01 2024 First Commonwealth Financial was traded for 13.51 at the closing time. Highest First Commonwealth's price during the trading hours was 13.97 and the lowest price during the day was 13.51 . The net volume was 538.3 K. The overall trading history on the 1st of April contributed to the next trading period price depreciation. The overall trading delta to the next next day price was 2.03% . The overall trading delta to current price is 2.10% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare First Commonwealth to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for First Commonwealth
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Commonwealth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Commonwealth's price trends.First Commonwealth Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Commonwealth stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Commonwealth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Commonwealth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Commonwealth Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Commonwealth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Commonwealth's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
First Commonwealth Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Commonwealth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Commonwealth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Commonwealth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Commonwealth Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Commonwealth Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Commonwealth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Commonwealth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Commonwealth to cross-verify your projections. Note that the First Commonwealth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Commonwealth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Commonwealth's price analysis, check to measure First Commonwealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Commonwealth is operating at the current time. Most of First Commonwealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Commonwealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Commonwealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Commonwealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First Commonwealth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Commonwealth. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Commonwealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.225 | Dividend Share 0.505 | Earnings Share 1.61 | Revenue Per Share 4.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 |
The market value of First Commonwealth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Commonwealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Commonwealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Commonwealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Commonwealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Commonwealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Commonwealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Commonwealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.