UnitedHealth Group (Germany) Price Prediction

UNH Stock  EUR 453.40  5.60  1.22%   
As of 14th of June 2024, the value of RSI of UnitedHealth Group's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling UnitedHealth Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of UnitedHealth Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of UnitedHealth Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from UnitedHealth Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using UnitedHealth Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated from the perspective of UnitedHealth Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UnitedHealth Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UnitedHealth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

UnitedHealth Group after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 453.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out UnitedHealth Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UnitedHealth Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
449.36451.07498.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
463.91465.62467.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
438.98462.26485.54
Details

UnitedHealth Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of UnitedHealth Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UnitedHealth Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UnitedHealth Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

UnitedHealth Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting UnitedHealth Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UnitedHealth Group's historical news coverage. UnitedHealth Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 451.69 and 455.11, respectively. We have considered UnitedHealth Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
453.40
451.69
Downside
453.40
After-hype Price
455.11
Upside
UnitedHealth Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UnitedHealth Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

UnitedHealth Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UnitedHealth Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UnitedHealth Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UnitedHealth Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.71
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
453.40
453.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

UnitedHealth Group Hype Timeline

UnitedHealth Group is at this time traded for 453.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. UnitedHealth is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on UnitedHealth Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 453.40. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. UnitedHealth Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be any time.
Check out UnitedHealth Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

UnitedHealth Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to UnitedHealth Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UnitedHealth Group's future price movements. Getting to know how UnitedHealth Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UnitedHealth Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 5.52  0.07  13.04 (7.55) 47.58 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.01 (2.58) 12.72 
3RKURYOHIN UNSPADR1 0.00 0 per month 2.05  0.06  3.57 (4.35) 12.24 
B7X1ENSURGE MICROPOW NK 0.00 0 per month 9.48  0.14  36.36 (21.43) 408.60 
MELMeli Hotels International 0.00 0 per month 1.42  0.17  3.14 (2.43) 7.10 
HEIHeidelbergCement AG 0.00 0 per month 1.15  0.11  2.68 (2.05) 6.92 
ITBIMPERIAL TOBACCO  0.00 0 per month 0.70  0.18  1.75 (1.54) 5.97 
N4Q1Hemisphere Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.44  0.09  2.78 (3.48) 8.07 
P5IBParkson Retail Group 0.00 0 per month 10.88  0.07  10.53 (5.26) 145.87 

UnitedHealth Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine UnitedHealth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UnitedHealth using various technical indicators. When you analyze UnitedHealth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About UnitedHealth Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of UnitedHealth Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UnitedHealth Group based on analysis of UnitedHealth Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UnitedHealth Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UnitedHealth Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for UnitedHealth Group

The number of cover stories for UnitedHealth Group depends on current market conditions and UnitedHealth Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UnitedHealth Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UnitedHealth Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

UnitedHealth Group Short Properties

UnitedHealth Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when UnitedHealth Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UnitedHealth Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UnitedHealth Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding934 M

Complementary Tools for UnitedHealth Stock analysis

When running UnitedHealth Group's price analysis, check to measure UnitedHealth Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UnitedHealth Group is operating at the current time. Most of UnitedHealth Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UnitedHealth Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UnitedHealth Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UnitedHealth Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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