Is VTEX Stock a Good Investment?

VTEX Investment Advice

VTEX

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on VTEX stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating VTEX. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include VTEX in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine VTEX's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research VTEX's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help VTEX navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact VTEX's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare VTEX's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how VTEX is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if VTEX pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about VTEX's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in VTEX stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if VTEX is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Strong Hold

We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on VTEX. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure VTEX is not overpriced, please validate all VTEX fundamentals, including its cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and short ratio . Given that VTEX has a number of shares shorted of 108.55 K, we advise you to double-check VTEX market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance	Very Weak	Details
Volatility	Somewhat reliable	Details
Hype Condition	Over hyped	Details
Current Valuation	Overvalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	About Average	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Almost mirrors the market	Details
Investor Sentiment	Interested	Details
Analyst Consensus	Buy	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Poor	Details
Financial Leverage	Inapplicable	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Unlikely Manipulator	Details

Examine VTEX Stock

Researching VTEX's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. VTEX had not issued any dividends in recent years.

To determine if VTEX is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding VTEX's research are outlined below:

	VTEX generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
	VTEX has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
	The company reported the previous year's revenue of 201.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.79 M.
	VTEX has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
	About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
	Latest headline from prnewswire.com: VTEX Vision unveiling a range of new solutions and supercharged upgrades designed to inspire insight, strategies, and scalable results for B2B and B2C commerce brands

VTEX Quarterly Cost Of Revenue

15.86 Million

VTEX uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in VTEX. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to VTEX's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	7th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View
	7th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End	View
	30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report	View
	31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact VTEX's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises VTEX's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2023-03-02	2022-12-31	-0.01	-0.002	0.008	80
2024-02-27	2023-12-31	0.01	0.02	0.01	100
2023-05-09	2023-03-31	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	33
2022-05-12	2022-03-31	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	14
2023-11-07	2023-09-30	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	66
2023-08-08	2023-06-30	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	100
2022-08-11	2022-06-30	-0.07	-0.1	-0.03	42
2021-11-17	2021-09-30	-0.1	-0.06	0.04	40

VTEX Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. VTEX target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. VTEX's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.

Buy

Most VTEX analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand VTEX stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of VTEX, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.

Macroaxis Advice Exposure Valuation

VTEX Target Price Projection

VTEX's current and average target prices are 7.46 and 6.36, respectively. The current price of VTEX is the price at which VTEX is currently trading. On the other hand, VTEX's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

VTEX Market Quote on 28th of April 2024

Low Price	7.33	Odds
High Price	7.46	Odds

7.46 Target Price

Analyst Consensus On VTEX Target Price

Low Estimate	5.79	Odds
High Estimate	7.06	Odds

6.36

Historical

Lowest Forecast 5.79

Target Price 6.36

Highest Forecast 7.06

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on VTEX and the information provided on this page.

VTEX Analyst Ratings

VTEX's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about VTEX stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of VTEX's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. VTEX's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know VTEX's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as VTEX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VTEX backward and forwards among themselves. VTEX's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase VTEX's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc	2023-09-30	593.3 K
Dynamo Administração De Recursos Ltda	2023-12-31	558.8 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc	2023-12-31	498.4 K
Ams Capital Ltda	2023-12-31	468 K
Velt Partners Investimentos Ltda	2023-09-30	462.8 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2023-12-31	428.4 K
State Street Corporation	2023-12-31	424.3 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc	2023-12-31	401.2 K
Penserra Capital Management, Llc	2023-12-31	274.3 K
Softbank Group Corp	2023-12-31	19.9 M
Dynamo Internacional Gestao De Recursos	2023-12-31	6.4 M

Note, although VTEX's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

VTEX's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.38 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate VTEX's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by VTEX's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Market Cap

3.84 Billion

VTEX's profitablity analysis

VTEX's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase VTEX's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, VTEX is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, VTEX's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of VTEX's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of VTEX's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	(0.04)	(0.05)
Return On Capital Employed	(0.06)	(0.06)
Return On Assets	(0.04)	(0.04)
Return On Equity	(0.06)	(0.06)

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.07) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.09 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.09.

Determining VTEX's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if VTEX is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures VTEX's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of VTEX's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

The data published in VTEX's official financial statements usually reflect VTEX's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of VTEX. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by VTEX accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what VTEX's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Software space in which it operates.

Please note, the presentation of VTEX's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, VTEX's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in VTEX's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of VTEX. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of VTEX's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate VTEX's management efficiency

VTEX has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0261) % which means that it has lost $0.0261 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.0532) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. VTEX's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well VTEX manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.05 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.06 in 2024. At this time, VTEX's Non Currrent Assets Other are fairly stable compared to the past year. Other Assets is likely to rise to about 35.5 M in 2024, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 254.4 M in 2024.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	1.29	0.82
Net Current Asset Value	0.00	0.00
Tangible Asset Value	0.00	0.00
Tangible Book Value Per Share	1.13	0.70
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	87.30	91.66
Price Book Value Ratio	5.34	5.07
Enterprise Value Multiple	87.30	91.66
Price Fair Value	5.34	5.07
Enterprise Value	2.2 B	3.8 B

The analysis of VTEX's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze VTEX's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of VTEX Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.

Beta

1.412

Basic technical analysis of VTEX Stock

As of the 28th of April, VTEX has the variance of 6.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check practical technical drivers of VTEX, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for thirteen technical drivers for VTEX, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate VTEX standard deviation and potential upside to decide if VTEX is priced adequately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 7.46 per share. Given that VTEX has information ratio of (0.07), we advise you to double-check VTEX's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some point in the future.

Understand VTEX's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing VTEX's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.01)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.07)
	Mean Deviation	1.73
	Coefficient Of Variation	(3,289)
	Standard Deviation	2.49
	Variance	6.21
	Information Ratio	(0.07)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.17)
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.40)
	Treynor Ratio	(0.08)
	Maximum Drawdown	13.64
	Value At Risk	(3.26)
	Potential Upside	4.46
	Skewness	1.19
	Kurtosis	2.45

	Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.01)
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	(0.07)
	Mean Deviation	1.73
	Coefficient Of Variation	(3,289)
	Standard Deviation	2.49
	Variance	6.21
	Information Ratio	(0.07)
	Jensen Alpha	(0.17)
	Total Risk Alpha	(0.40)
	Treynor Ratio	(0.08)
	Maximum Drawdown	13.64
	Value At Risk	(3.26)
	Potential Upside	4.46
	Skewness	1.19
	Kurtosis	2.45

Consider VTEX's intraday indicators

VTEX intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of VTEX stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0174
	Daily Balance Of Power	1.076923
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.02
	Day Median Price	7.4
	Day Typical Price	7.42
	Market Facilitation Index	0.13
	Price Action Indicator	0.13
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.14
	Relative Strength Index	32.5

VTEX Corporate Filings

6K	24th of April 2024 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.	View Verify
13A	26th of February 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G	View Verify

VTEX time-series forecasting models is one of many VTEX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary VTEX's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

VTEX Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about VTEX that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through VTEX media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via VTEX internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of VTEX data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of VTEX news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of VTEX relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to VTEX's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive VTEX alpha.

VTEX Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards VTEX can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

VTEX Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to VTEX's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VTEX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VTEX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VTEX. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

VTEX's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for VTEX and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average VTEX news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on VTEX.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in VTEX without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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VTEX Corporate Management

Elected by the shareholders, the VTEX's board of directors comprises two types of representatives: VTEX inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of VTEX. The board's role is to monitor VTEX's management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. VTEX's inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, VTEX's outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.

Mariano Faria	CoCEO Cofounder	Profile
Fernanda Weiden	Chief Officer	Profile
Andre Gomes	Chief Officer	Profile
Carol Silvestre	Head Communications	Profile
Rodrigo Jorge	Chief Officer	Profile
Santiago Naranjo	Chief Officer	Profile
Rafael Forte	Head Solution	Profile

How to buy VTEX Stock?

Examine VTEX's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research VTEX's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help VTEX navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact VTEX's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare VTEX's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how VTEX is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if VTEX pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about VTEX's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

Already Invested in VTEX?

The danger of trading VTEX is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of VTEX is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than VTEX. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile VTEX is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.

When determining whether VTEX offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VTEX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vtex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vtex Stock: