Coles Group Stock Market Value

CLEGF Stock  USD 8.57  0.00  0.00%   
Coles Group's market value is the price at which a share of Coles Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Coles Group investors about its performance. Coles Group is trading at 8.57 as of the 11th of May 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 8.57.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Coles Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Coles Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Coles Group Correlation, Coles Group Volatility and Coles Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Coles Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Coles Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coles Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coles Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Coles Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Coles Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Coles Group.
0.00
02/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
05/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Coles Group on February 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Coles Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Coles Group over 90 days. Coles Group is related to or competes with Seven I, Grocery Outlet, Krispy Kreme, Koninklijke Ahold, Weis Markets, Albertsons Companies, and Dingdong ADR. It operates through Supermarkets, Liquor, and Express segments More

Coles Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Coles Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Coles Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Coles Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Coles Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Coles Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Coles Group historical prices to predict the future Coles Group's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coles Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.808.579.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.718.489.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.688.449.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.578.578.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coles Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coles Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coles Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coles Group.

Coles Group Backtested Returns

We consider Coles Group very steady. Coles Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0038, which signifies that the company had a 0.0038% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found seventeen technical indicators for Coles Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Coles Group's Standard Deviation of 0.7532, risk adjusted performance of 0.0041, and Mean Deviation of 0.1328 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0029%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0123, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Coles Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Coles Group is likely to outperform the market. Coles Group right now shows a risk of 0.77%. Please confirm Coles Group jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Coles Group will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Coles Group has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Coles Group time series from 11th of February 2024 to 27th of March 2024 and 27th of March 2024 to 11th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Coles Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Coles Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.86
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Coles Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Coles Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Coles Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Coles Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Coles Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Coles Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Coles Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Coles Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Coles Group pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Coles Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Coles Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Coles Group pink sheet have on its future price. Coles Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Coles Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Coles Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Coles Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Coles Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Coles Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Coles Group options trading.

Pair Trading with Coles Group

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Coles Group position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Coles Group will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Coles Group could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Coles Group when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Coles Group - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Coles Group to buy it.
The correlation of Coles Group is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Coles Group moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Coles Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Coles Group can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Coles Group Correlation, Coles Group Volatility and Coles Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Coles Group.
Note that the Coles Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Coles Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Coles Pink Sheet analysis

When running Coles Group's price analysis, check to measure Coles Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coles Group is operating at the current time. Most of Coles Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coles Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coles Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coles Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Coles Group technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Coles Group technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Coles Group trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...