Agilysys Stock Future Price Prediction

AGYS Stock  USD 71.85  0.99  1.40%   
Agilysys stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Agilysys shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Agilysys' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Agilysys and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Agilysys' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Agilysys, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Agilysys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Agilysys based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Agilysys stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Agilysys over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
Using Agilysys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agilysys from the perspective of Agilysys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agilysys using Agilysys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agilysys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agilysys' stock price.
Agilysys EBITDA Margin is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Agilysys reported EBITDA Margin of 0.1 in 2022. Earnings per Basic Share is likely to gain to 0.56 in 2023, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 5.26 in 2023.

Agilysys Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Agilysys' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Agilysys. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Agilysys stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Agilysys may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Agilysys and may potentially protect profits, hedge Agilysys with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
328.4 K
50 Day MA

Agilysys Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Agilysys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agilysys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agilysys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agilysys. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Agilysys' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Agilysys.

Agilysys Implied Volatility

Agilysys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agilysys stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agilysys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agilysys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agilysys' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Agilysys. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agilysys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agilysys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Agilysys after-hype prediction price

  USD 71.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Agilysys contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Agilysys will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.01% per day over the life of the 2023-06-16 option contract. With Agilysys trading at USD71.85, that is roughly USD2.16. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Agilysys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Agilysys options at the current volatility level of 48.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agilysys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Agilysys in the context of predictive analytics.
4 Analysts
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agilysys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agilysys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agilysys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Agilysys.

Agilysys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Agilysys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agilysys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agilysys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Agilysys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Agilysys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agilysys' historical news coverage. Agilysys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.18 and 74.52, respectively. We have considered Agilysys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 71.85
After-hype Price
Agilysys is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agilysys is based on 3 months time horizon.

Agilysys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Agilysys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilysys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agilysys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13  2.69  0.06    0.01  8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Agilysys Hype Timeline

Agilysys is presently traded for 71.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Agilysys anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Agilysys is about 5123.81%. The volatility of related hype on Agilysys is about 5123.81% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 71.84. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 244.05. Agilysys last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2009. The entity had 3:2 split on the 7th of September 1995. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Agilysys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide.

Agilysys Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Agilysys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agilysys' future price movements. Getting to know how Agilysys rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agilysys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
MOLNMolecular Partners AG(0.05) 9 per month 2.85  0.0432  5.83 (5.52)  16.70 
CBIOCatalyst Biosciences 0.01 10 per month 4.02  0.0221  5.26 (8.70)  41.67 
HHSHarte Hanks 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.18)  5.10 (5.56)  30.13 
ZZHGYZhongAn Online P 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.009)  0.00  0.00  16.09 
CPOPPop Culture Group 0.09 11 per month 0.00 (0.09)  7.25 (7.69)  24.70 
KRTXKaruna Therapeutics(1.15) 10 per month 2.79  0.10  4.35 (3.37)  14.83 
VALNValneva SE ADR 0.69 2 per month 4.00  0.0142  6.65 (7.91)  29.70 
SCORComscore(0.02) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0362)  8.24 (7.14)  20.39 

Agilysys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Agilysys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agilysys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agilysys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Agilysys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Agilysys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agilysys, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agilysys based on analysis of Agilysys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agilysys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agilysys's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Receivables Turnover4.456.395.755.26
PPandE Turnover13.0521.4924.7220.49

Story Coverage note for Agilysys

The number of cover stories for Agilysys depends on current market conditions and Agilysys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agilysys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agilysys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Agilysys Short Properties

Agilysys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Agilysys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agilysys often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agilysys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agilysys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.8 M
Check out Agilysys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agilysys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilysys. If investors know Agilysys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilysys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Return On Assets
The market value of Agilysys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilysys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilysys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilysys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilysys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilysys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilysys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilysys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilysys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. Check out Agilysys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide.