Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Price Prediction
| KDP Stock | USD 36.61 0.44 1.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.058 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.52 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.92 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.07 | Wall Street Target Price 37.07 |
Using Keurig Dr hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Keurig Dr Pepper from the perspective of Keurig Dr response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Keurig Dr using Keurig Dr's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Keurig using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Keurig Dr's stock price.
Keurig Dr Short Interest
An investor who is long Keurig Dr may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Keurig Dr and may potentially protect profits, hedge Keurig Dr with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.5305 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 2.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.1 M | 50 Day MA 34.1528 |
Keurig Dr Pepper Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Keurig Dr's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Keurig. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Keurig can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Keurig Dr Pepper. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Keurig Dr's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Keurig Dr.
Keurig Dr Implied Volatility | 15.85 |
Keurig Dr's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Keurig Dr Pepper stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Keurig Dr's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Keurig Dr stock will not fluctuate a lot when Keurig Dr's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Keurig Dr to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Keurig because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Keurig Dr after-hype prediction price | USD 36.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Keurig contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Keurig Dr Pepper will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.99% per day over the life of the 2024-09-20 option contract. With Keurig Dr trading at USD 36.61, that is roughly USD 0.36 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Keurig Dr's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Keurig Dr Pepper options at the current volatility level of 15.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Keurig |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keurig Dr's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Keurig Dr After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Keurig Dr at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Keurig Dr or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Keurig Dr, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Keurig Dr Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Keurig Dr's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Keurig Dr's historical news coverage. Keurig Dr's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.77 and 37.51, respectively. We have considered Keurig Dr's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Keurig Dr is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Keurig Dr Pepper is based on 3 months time horizon.
Keurig Dr Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Keurig Dr is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Keurig Dr backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Keurig Dr, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.86 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.61 | 36.64 | 0.08 |
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Keurig Dr Hype Timeline
On the 31st of August Keurig Dr Pepper is traded for 36.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Keurig is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Keurig Dr is about 3329.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.61. The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.81 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.18 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.33 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Keurig Dr Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Keurig Dr Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Keurig Dr's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Keurig Dr's future price movements. Getting to know how Keurig Dr's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Keurig Dr may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CELH | Celsius Holdings | 1.29 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 3.81 | (6.27) | 18.96 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | 1.10 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.48 | (3.80) | 15.82 | |
| PEP | PepsiCo | (0.76) | 8 per month | 0.93 | (0.09) | 1.55 | (1.38) | 5.36 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | (2.75) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.09 | (2.62) | 9.51 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | 0.33 | 6 per month | 1.61 | (0.0005) | 2.68 | (2.62) | 19.83 | |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corp | 0.10 | 11 per month | 1.28 | (0.09) | 2.07 | (1.84) | 4.96 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | (0.44) | 11 per month | 1.07 | 0.19 | 3.45 | (1.53) | 12.94 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | 0.39 | 8 per month | 0.28 | 0.17 | 1.60 | (1.05) | 3.79 | |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corp | (0.13) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.62 | (2.21) | 13.21 | |
| AKO-B | Embotelladora Andina SA | (0.03) | 2 per month | 1.98 | (0.02) | 3.26 | (3.11) | 9.52 | |
| AKO-A | Embotelladora Andina SA | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 4.19 | (2.78) | 10.00 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 0.59 | 11 per month | 0.74 | 0.06 | 2.03 | (1.50) | 4.76 |
Keurig Dr Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Keurig price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Keurig using various technical indicators. When you analyze Keurig charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Keurig Dr Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Keurig Dr stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Keurig Dr Pepper, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Keurig Dr based on analysis of Keurig Dr hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Keurig Dr's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Keurig Dr's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0183 | 0.0214 | 0.0245 | 0.0233 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.11 | 3.59 | 3.15 | 3.3 |
Story Coverage note for Keurig Dr
The number of cover stories for Keurig Dr depends on current market conditions and Keurig Dr's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Keurig Dr is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Keurig Dr's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Keurig Dr Short Properties
Keurig Dr's future price predictability will typically decrease when Keurig Dr's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Keurig Dr Pepper often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Keurig Dr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keurig Dr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267 M |
Additional Tools for Keurig Stock Analysis
When running Keurig Dr's price analysis, check to measure Keurig Dr's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keurig Dr is operating at the current time. Most of Keurig Dr's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keurig Dr's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keurig Dr's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keurig Dr to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.