Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Price Prediction

KDP Stock  USD 30.43  0.21  0.69%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Keurig Dr's the stock price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Keurig, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Keurig Dr Pepper stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Keurig Dr shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Keurig Dr's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Keurig Dr and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Keurig Dr's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Keurig Dr Pepper, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Keurig Dr's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.554
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.36
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.91
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.05
Wall Street Target Price
35.16
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Keurig Dr based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Keurig stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Keurig Dr over a specific investment horizon. Using Keurig Dr hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Keurig Dr Pepper from the perspective of Keurig Dr response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Keurig Dr using Keurig Dr's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Keurig using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Keurig Dr's stock price.

Keurig Dr Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Keurig Dr's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Keurig. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Keurig Dr stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Keurig Dr may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Keurig Dr and may potentially protect profits, hedge Keurig Dr with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.6017
Short Percent
0.0152
Short Ratio
0.97
Shares Short Prior Month
12.7 M
50 Day MA
30.2898

Keurig Dr Pepper Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Keurig Dr's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Keurig. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Keurig can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Keurig Dr Pepper. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Keurig Dr's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Keurig Dr.

Keurig Dr Implied Volatility

    
  32.59  
Keurig Dr's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Keurig Dr Pepper stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Keurig Dr's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Keurig Dr stock will not fluctuate a lot when Keurig Dr's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Keurig Dr. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Keurig Dr to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Keurig because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Keurig Dr after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Keurig contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Keurig Dr Pepper will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.04% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Keurig Dr trading at USD 30.43, that is roughly USD 0.62 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Keurig Dr's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Keurig Dr Pepper options at the current volatility level of 32.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Keurig Dr Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keurig Dr's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3933.1634.36
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.7636.0039.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.350.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Keurig Dr. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Keurig Dr's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Keurig Dr's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Keurig Dr Pepper.

Keurig Dr After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Keurig Dr at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Keurig Dr or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Keurig Dr, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Keurig Dr Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Keurig Dr's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Keurig Dr's historical news coverage. Keurig Dr's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.21 and 31.61, respectively. We have considered Keurig Dr's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
30.43
30.41
After-hype Price
31.61
Upside
Keurig Dr is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Keurig Dr Pepper is based on 3 months time horizon.

Keurig Dr Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Keurig Dr is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Keurig Dr backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Keurig Dr, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.20
  0.02 
  0.10 
11 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.43
30.41
0.07 
307.69  
Notes

Keurig Dr Hype Timeline

On the 16th of April 2024 Keurig Dr Pepper is traded for 30.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Keurig is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Keurig Dr is about 61.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.53. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.59. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Keurig Dr Pepper last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 1st of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Keurig Dr Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Keurig Dr Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Keurig Dr's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Keurig Dr's future price movements. Getting to know how Keurig Dr's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Keurig Dr may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CELHCelsius Holdings 0.92 9 per month 3.37  0.08  5.62 (4.41) 28.98 
COCOVita Coco 0.46 8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.88 (4.00) 18.02 
PEPPepsiCo 0.38 7 per month 0.97 (0.06) 1.53 (1.22) 5.44 
KOFCoca Cola Femsa SAB(2.42)12 per month 1.42  0.02  3.01 (1.68) 9.62 
FIZZNational Beverage Corp 0.37 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.79 (2.53) 7.95 
PRMWPrimo Water Corp 0.06 11 per month 1.02  0.15  2.93 (2.49) 5.35 
COKECoca Cola Consolidated 25.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.33 (2.90) 7.68 
KOThe Coca Cola(0.13)10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.03 (1.02) 3.85 
MNSTMonster Beverage Corp(0.48)10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.72 (1.69) 8.42 
AKO-BEmbotelladora Andina SA(0.30)3 per month 2.66  0.02  3.87 (4.54) 17.74 
AKO-AEmbotelladora Andina SA 0.13 2 per month 1.70  0.03  3.92 (3.79) 10.62 
CCEPCoca Cola European Partners(0.57)7 per month 0.82 (0.01) 1.59 (1.52) 6.73 

Keurig Dr Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Keurig price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Keurig using various technical indicators. When you analyze Keurig charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Keurig Dr Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Keurig Dr stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Keurig Dr Pepper, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Keurig Dr based on analysis of Keurig Dr hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Keurig Dr's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Keurig Dr's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01830.02140.02450.0233
Price To Sales Ratio4.113.593.153.3

Story Coverage note for Keurig Dr

The number of cover stories for Keurig Dr depends on current market conditions and Keurig Dr's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Keurig Dr is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Keurig Dr's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Keurig Dr Short Properties

Keurig Dr's future price predictability will typically decrease when Keurig Dr's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Keurig Dr Pepper often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Keurig Dr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keurig Dr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments267 M
When determining whether Keurig Dr Pepper is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Keurig Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock:
Check out Keurig Dr Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Keurig Dr Pepper information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Keurig Dr's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Keurig Stock analysis

When running Keurig Dr's price analysis, check to measure Keurig Dr's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keurig Dr is operating at the current time. Most of Keurig Dr's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keurig Dr's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keurig Dr's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keurig Dr to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Is Keurig Dr's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Keurig Dr. If investors know Keurig will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Keurig Dr listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.554
Dividend Share
0.83
Earnings Share
1.55
Revenue Per Share
10.587
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
The market value of Keurig Dr Pepper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Keurig that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Keurig Dr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Keurig Dr's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Keurig Dr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Keurig Dr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Keurig Dr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keurig Dr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keurig Dr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.