Pepsico Stock Price Prediction
| PEP Stock | USD 172.75 1.73 1.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.121 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.76 | Wall Street Target Price 182.41 |
Using PepsiCo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PepsiCo from the perspective of PepsiCo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PepsiCo using PepsiCo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PepsiCo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PepsiCo's stock price.
PepsiCo Short Interest
An investor who is long PepsiCo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PepsiCo and may potentially protect profits, hedge PepsiCo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 168.7369 | Short Percent 0.0136 | Short Ratio 3.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.7 M | 50 Day MA 169.6156 |
PepsiCo Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PepsiCo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PepsiCo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PepsiCo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PepsiCo. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PepsiCo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PepsiCo.
PepsiCo Implied Volatility | 18.22 |
PepsiCo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PepsiCo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PepsiCo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PepsiCo stock will not fluctuate a lot when PepsiCo's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PepsiCo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PepsiCo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PepsiCo after-hype prediction price | USD 172.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PepsiCo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PepsiCo will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.14% per day over the life of the 2024-08-02 option contract. With PepsiCo trading at USD 172.75, that is roughly USD 1.97 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PepsiCo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PepsiCo options at the current volatility level of 18.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
PepsiCo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PepsiCo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PepsiCo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PepsiCo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PepsiCo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PepsiCo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PepsiCo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PepsiCo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PepsiCo's historical news coverage. PepsiCo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.67 and 173.79, respectively. We have considered PepsiCo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PepsiCo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PepsiCo is based on 3 months time horizon.
PepsiCo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PepsiCo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PepsiCo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PepsiCo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.06 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
172.75 | 172.73 | 0.01 |
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PepsiCo Hype Timeline
On the 27th of July PepsiCo is traded for 172.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. PepsiCo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 172.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 115.22%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on PepsiCo is about 47700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 172.75. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. PepsiCo recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 29th of May 1996. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out PepsiCo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PepsiCo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PepsiCo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PepsiCo's future price movements. Getting to know how PepsiCo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PepsiCo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.48 | (0.24) | 0.98 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.06) | 1 per month | 0.53 | (0.01) | 0.90 | (0.98) | 2.68 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | (0.01) | 4.33 | (4.97) | 16.82 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.19 | (0.08) | 0.59 | (0.50) | 1.48 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | (0.04) | 1.36 | (1.45) | 24.27 | |
| SITKF | Sitka Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.69 | (8.33) | 22.50 | |
| RWAYL | MSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.32 | (0.28) | 1.16 |
PepsiCo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PepsiCo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PepsiCo using various technical indicators. When you analyze PepsiCo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PepsiCo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PepsiCo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PepsiCo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PepsiCo based on analysis of PepsiCo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PepsiCo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PepsiCo's related companies. | 2016 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0283 | 0.0223 | 0.0166 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.38 | 2.6 | 1.72 |
Story Coverage note for PepsiCo
The number of cover stories for PepsiCo depends on current market conditions and PepsiCo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PepsiCo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PepsiCo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PepsiCo Short Properties
PepsiCo's future price predictability will typically decrease when PepsiCo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PepsiCo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PepsiCo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PepsiCo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10 B |
Additional Tools for PepsiCo Stock Analysis
When running PepsiCo's price analysis, check to measure PepsiCo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PepsiCo is operating at the current time. Most of PepsiCo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PepsiCo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PepsiCo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PepsiCo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.