The relative strength indicator of Starbucks' stock price is slightly above 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.
For more information on how to buy Starbucks Stock please use our How to Invest in Starbucks guide.
Oversold Vs Overbought
Starbucks stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Starbucks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Starbucks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Starbucks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Starbucks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Starbucks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Starbucks' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Starbucks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Starbucks stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Starbucks over a specific investment horizon. Using Starbucks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starbucks from the perspective of Starbucks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Starbucks using Starbucks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Starbucks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Starbucks' stock price.
Starbucks Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Starbucks' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Starbucks. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Starbucks stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Starbucks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Starbucks and may potentially protect profits, hedge Starbucks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Shares Short Prior Month
50 Day MA
Starbucks Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Starbucks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Starbucks. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Starbucks can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Starbucks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Starbucks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Starbucks.
Starbucks Implied Volatility
Starbucks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Starbucks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Starbucks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Starbucks stock will not fluctuate a lot when Starbucks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Starbucks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Starbucks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Starbucks because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Starbucks after-hype prediction price
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Starbucks contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Starbucks will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.32% per day over the life of the 2024-02-23 option contract. With Starbucks trading at USD 95.02, that is roughly USD 2.21 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Starbucks' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Starbucks options at the current volatility level of 37.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.Check out Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starbucks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Starbucks in the context of predictive analytics.
Starbucks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Starbucks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starbucks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Starbucks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Starbucks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Starbucks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starbucks' historical news coverage. Starbucks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.02 and 96.02, respectively. We have considered Starbucks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Starbucks Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starbucks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starbucks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starbucks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
2 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In a few days
|Latest traded price
|Expected after-news price
|Potential return on next major news
|Average after-hype volatility
Starbucks Hype TimelineStarbucks is at this time traded for 95.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Starbucks anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Starbucks is about 373.44%. The volatility of related hype on Starbucks is about 373.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 95.05. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.33. Starbucks last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of April 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Starbucks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Starbucks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starbucks' future price movements. Getting to know how Starbucks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starbucks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Starbucks Additional Predictive ModulesMost predictive techniques to examine Starbucks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starbucks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starbucks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
About Starbucks Predictive Indicators
Story Coverage note for Starbucks
The number of cover stories for Starbucks depends on current market conditions and Starbucks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starbucks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starbucks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Starbucks Short Properties
Starbucks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Starbucks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Starbucks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Starbucks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starbucks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.When determining whether Starbucks offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Starbucks' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Starbucks Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Starbucks Stock:
Check out Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.For more information on how to buy Starbucks Stock please use our How to Invest in Starbucks guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for Starbucks Stock analysis
When running Starbucks' price analysis, check to measure Starbucks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Starbucks is operating at the current time. Most of Starbucks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Starbucks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Starbucks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Starbucks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
|Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Is Starbucks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Starbucks. If investors know Starbucks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Starbucks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of Starbucks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Starbucks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Starbucks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Starbucks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Starbucks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Starbucks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Starbucks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Starbucks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Starbucks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.