Starbucks Stock Price Prediction

SBUX Stock  USD 95.02  1.56  1.67%   
The relative strength indicator of Starbucks' stock price is slightly above 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Starbucks stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Starbucks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Starbucks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Starbucks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Starbucks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Starbucks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Starbucks' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.216
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.81
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.06
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.74
Wall Street Target Price
107.15
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Starbucks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Starbucks stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Starbucks over a specific investment horizon. Using Starbucks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starbucks from the perspective of Starbucks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Starbucks using Starbucks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Starbucks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Starbucks' stock price.

Starbucks Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Starbucks' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Starbucks. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Starbucks stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Starbucks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Starbucks and may potentially protect profits, hedge Starbucks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
97.771
Short Percent
0.0122
Short Ratio
1.45
Shares Short Prior Month
17.3 M
50 Day MA
94.5156

Starbucks Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Starbucks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Starbucks. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Starbucks can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Starbucks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Starbucks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Starbucks.

Starbucks Implied Volatility

    
  37.18  
Starbucks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Starbucks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Starbucks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Starbucks stock will not fluctuate a lot when Starbucks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Starbucks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Starbucks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Starbucks because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Starbucks after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 95.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Starbucks contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Starbucks will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.32% per day over the life of the 2024-02-23 option contract. With Starbucks trading at USD 95.02, that is roughly USD 2.21 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Starbucks' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Starbucks options at the current volatility level of 37.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Starbucks Stock please use our How to Invest in Starbucks guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starbucks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Starbucks in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.5296.3197.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.9091.9092.90
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
96.03105.53117.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.820.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Starbucks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Starbucks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Starbucks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Starbucks.

Starbucks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Starbucks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starbucks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Starbucks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Starbucks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Starbucks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starbucks' historical news coverage. Starbucks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.02 and 96.02, respectively. We have considered Starbucks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
95.02
95.02
After-hype Price
96.02
Upside
Starbucks is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starbucks is based on 3 months time horizon.

Starbucks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starbucks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starbucks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starbucks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.00
  0.01 
  0.03 
2 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
95.02
95.02
0.00 
1,000.00  
Notes

Starbucks Hype Timeline

Starbucks is at this time traded for 95.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Starbucks anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Starbucks is about 373.44%. The volatility of related hype on Starbucks is about 373.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 95.05. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.33. Starbucks last dividend was issued on the 8th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of April 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Starbucks Stock please use our How to Invest in Starbucks guide.

Starbucks Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Starbucks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starbucks' future price movements. Getting to know how Starbucks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starbucks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TATT Inc 0.03 1 per month 1.23 (0.02) 2.82 (2.14) 7.16 
DDDupont De Nemours 0.75 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.57 (1.84) 16.17 
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co 0.54 1 per month 0.00  0.22  1.73 (0.73) 3.13 
CATCaterpillar 0.70 6 per month 0.94  0.15  2.46 (2.42) 9.41 
MRKMerck Company 1.29 5 per month 0.00  0.21  1.95 (0.92) 5.55 
CVXChevron Corp(1.47)2 per month 0.97 (0.04) 1.83 (1.67) 6.11 
PGProcter Gamble 0.71 5 per month 0.84 (0.05) 1.30 (1.21) 5.35 
DISWalt Disney(0.81)2 per month 1.10  0.04  2.23 (2.05) 13.44 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 0.67 8 per month 0.00  0.25  1.51 (1.02) 8.06 

Starbucks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Starbucks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starbucks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starbucks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Starbucks Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Starbucks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Starbucks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Starbucks based on analysis of Starbucks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Starbucks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Starbucks's related companies.
 2010 2023 2024 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.727.07.55
Interest Coverage11.6916.1216.54

Story Coverage note for Starbucks

The number of cover stories for Starbucks depends on current market conditions and Starbucks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starbucks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starbucks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Starbucks Short Properties

Starbucks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Starbucks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Starbucks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Starbucks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starbucks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
When determining whether Starbucks offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Starbucks' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Starbucks Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Starbucks Stock:
Check out Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Starbucks Stock please use our How to Invest in Starbucks guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running Starbucks' price analysis, check to measure Starbucks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Starbucks is operating at the current time. Most of Starbucks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Starbucks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Starbucks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Starbucks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Starbucks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Starbucks. If investors know Starbucks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Starbucks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.216
Dividend Share
2.2
Earnings Share
3.74
Revenue Per Share
32.074
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
The market value of Starbucks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Starbucks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Starbucks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Starbucks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Starbucks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Starbucks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Starbucks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Starbucks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Starbucks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.