Walmart Stock Price Prediction

WMT Stock  USD 65.38  0.54  0.83%   
At this time, The value of RSI of Walmart's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Walmart, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought


Walmart stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Walmart shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Walmart's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Walmart and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Walmart's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walmart, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Walmart's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Walmart based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Walmart stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Walmart over a specific investment horizon. Using Walmart hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Walmart from the perspective of Walmart response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Walmart using Walmart's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Walmart using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Walmart's stock price.

Walmart Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Walmart's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Walmart. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Walmart stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Walmart may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Walmart and may potentially protect profits, hedge Walmart with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
37.1 M
50 Day MA

Walmart Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Walmart's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Walmart. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Walmart can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walmart. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Walmart's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Walmart.

Walmart Implied Volatility

Walmart's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walmart stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walmart's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walmart stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walmart's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Walmart. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Walmart to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Walmart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Walmart after-hype prediction price

  USD 64.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Walmart contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Walmart will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.4% per day over the life of the 2024-05-24 option contract. With Walmart trading at USD 65.38, that is roughly USD 0.91 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Walmart's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Walmart options at the current volatility level of 22.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Walmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walmart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
40 Analysts
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Walmart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Walmart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Walmart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Walmart.

Walmart After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Walmart at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Walmart or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Walmart, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Walmart Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Walmart's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Walmart's historical news coverage. Walmart's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.66 and 65.96, respectively. We have considered Walmart's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
After-hype Price
Walmart is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walmart is based on 3 months time horizon.

Walmart Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Walmart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walmart backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Walmart, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Walmart Hype Timeline

On the 24th of May Walmart is traded for 65.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Walmart is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 64.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Walmart is about 841.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.40. About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.44. Walmart last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 26th of February 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Walmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.

Walmart Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Walmart's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Walmart's future price movements. Getting to know how Walmart's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Walmart may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Walmart Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Walmart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walmart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walmart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Walmart Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Walmart stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Walmart, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Walmart based on analysis of Walmart hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Walmart's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Walmart's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01580.01380.0106
Price To Sales Ratio0.680.690.86

Story Coverage note for Walmart

The number of cover stories for Walmart depends on current market conditions and Walmart's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Walmart is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Walmart's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Walmart Short Properties

Walmart's future price predictability will typically decrease when Walmart's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Walmart often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Walmart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walmart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.9 B
When determining whether Walmart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Walmart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Walmart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Walmart Stock:
Check out Walmart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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When running Walmart's price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.