Moderna Stock Analysis

MRNA Stock  USD 46.83  3.45  6.86%   
Moderna is undervalued with Real Value of 78.74 and Target Price of 167.65. The main objective of Moderna stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Moderna is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Moderna's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Moderna stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Moderna's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Moderna. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For information on how to trade Moderna Stock refer to our How to Trade Moderna Stock guide.

Moderna Stock Analysis Notes

About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Moderna recorded a loss per share of 14.9. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of August 2017. Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and auto-immune diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Moderna operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 3700 people. To find out more about Moderna contact Stephane Bancel at 617 714 6500 or learn more at https://www.modernatx.com.

Moderna Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Moderna's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Moderna or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Moderna generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.71 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.55 B.
Moderna currently holds about 8.35 B in cash with (3.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.73.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sun Communities Reports Results for the Third Quarter and First Nine Months of 2024

Moderna Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Moderna previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Moderna Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Moderna's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-05
2020-06-30-0.35-0.310.0411 
2019-05-08
2019-03-31-0.36-0.4-0.0411 
2020-02-26
2019-12-31-0.42-0.370.0511 
View All Earnings Estimates

Moderna Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Moderna's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Moderna's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Moderna's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Moderna's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Moderna Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-06-30
3.9 M
Capital World Investors2024-06-30
3.7 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
3.4 M
Banque Pictet & Cie Sa2024-09-30
3.2 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-06-30
2.9 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
2.8 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
2.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
2.3 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-06-30
43.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
39.6 M
Note, although Moderna's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Moderna Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 19.92 B.

Moderna Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.16) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (5.66) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $5.66.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.26)(0.24)
Return On Capital Employed(0.28)(0.26)
Return On Assets(0.26)(0.24)
Return On Equity(0.34)(0.32)

Management Efficiency

Moderna has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.1542) % which means that it has lost $0.1542 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4094) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Moderna's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Moderna manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.24. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.26. At present, Moderna's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 23.1 B, whereas Total Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 5.6 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 36.27  38.08 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 36.02  37.82 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(9.70)(10.18)
Price Book Value Ratio 2.74  2.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple(9.70)(10.18)
Price Fair Value 2.74  2.61 
Enterprise Value33.5 B35.2 B
Leadership effectiveness at Moderna is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Operating Margin
(5.66)
Profit Margin
(1.16)
Beta
1.69
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.41)

Technical Drivers

As of the 8th of November, Moderna secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18), standard deviation of 2.85, and Mean Deviation of 1.98. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Moderna, as well as the relationship between them.

Moderna Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Moderna middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Moderna. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Moderna Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Moderna insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Moderna's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Moderna insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Moderna Outstanding Bonds

Moderna issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Moderna uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Moderna bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Moderna has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Moderna Predictive Daily Indicators

Moderna intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Moderna stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Moderna Corporate Filings

8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
8th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
4th of October 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
2nd of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
12th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
10th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
30th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Moderna Forecast Models

Moderna's time-series forecasting models are one of many Moderna's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Moderna's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Moderna Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Moderna prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Moderna shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Moderna. By using and applying Moderna Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Moderna entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.58)(0.61)
Operating Profit Margin(0.63)(0.66)
Net Loss(0.70)(0.73)
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.22 

Current Moderna Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Moderna analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Moderna analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
167.65Buy25Odds
Moderna current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Moderna analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Moderna stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Moderna, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Moderna conference calls.
Moderna Analyst Advice Details

Moderna Stock Analysis Indicators

Moderna stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Moderna stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Moderna shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Moderna stock analysis, traders can identify Moderna position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow3.2 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding382 M
Total Stockholder Equity13.9 B
Tax Provision1.1 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.851
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.6 B
Cash2.9 B
Accounts Payable520 M
Net Debt-2.9 B
50 Day M A63.023
Total Current LiabilitiesB
Other Operating Expenses11 B
Non Current Assets Total8.1 B
Forward Price Earnings32.4675
Non Currrent Assets Other523 M
Stock Based Compensation305 M

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When running Moderna's price analysis, check to measure Moderna's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moderna is operating at the current time. Most of Moderna's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moderna's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moderna's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moderna to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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