Bottomline Technologies Volatility

EPAYDelisted Stock  USD 56.99  0.00  0.00%   
We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Bottomline Technologies, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bottomline Technologies' Mean Deviation of 0.1757, risk adjusted performance of 0.0262, and Downside Deviation of 0.2652 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Bottomline Technologies' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Bottomline Technologies Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Bottomline daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Bottomline's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Bottomline Technologies volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Bottomline Technologies can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Bottomline Technologies at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Bottomline stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Bottomline Technologies' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Bottomline Stock

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Bottomline Technologies Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Bottomline Technologies' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Bottomline stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Bottomline stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Bottomline Technologies's beta of 0.14 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Bottomline Technologies stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Bottomline Technologies exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.2 and kurtosis of 4.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bottomline Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bottomline Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Bottomline Technologies Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Bottomline Technologies correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Bottomline Beta

    
  0.14  
Bottomline standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.0  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Bottomline Technologies's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Bottomline Technologies' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in bottomline stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Bottomline Technologies.

Bottomline Technologies Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Bottomline Technologies delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Bottomline Technologies' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Bottomline Technologies' stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Bottomline Technologies' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of delisted stock volatility measures Bottomline Technologies' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Bottomline Technologies' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Bottomline Technologies' current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Bottomline Technologies' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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Bottomline Technologies Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bottomline Technologies has a beta of 0.1424 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bottomline Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bottomline Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bottomline Technologies or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bottomline Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bottomline delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
It does not look like Bottomline Technologies' alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Bottomline Technologies' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how bottomline stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Bottomline Technologies Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Bottomline Technologies Stock Return Volatility

Bottomline Technologies historical daily return volatility represents how much of Bottomline Technologies delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6263% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Bottomline Technologies Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Bottomline Technologies or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Bottomline Technologies may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Bottomline's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Bottomline Technologies and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Bottomline Technologies fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Bottomline Technologies, Inc. provides various solutions for the banking, financial services, insurance, healthcare, technology, retail, communications, education, media, manufacturing, and government industries. Bottomline Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. Bottomline Tech operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2344 people.
Bottomline Technologies' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Bottomline Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Bottomline Technologies' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Bottomline Technologies' volatility to invest better

Higher Bottomline Technologies' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Bottomline Technologies stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Bottomline Technologies stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Bottomline Technologies investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Bottomline Technologies' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Bottomline Technologies' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Bottomline Technologies Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.63 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Bottomline Technologies. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Bottomline Technologies. You can use Bottomline Technologies to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Bottomline Technologies to be traded at $56.42 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Bottomline Technologies and NYA is 0.22 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bottomline Technologies and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Bottomline Technologies Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bottomline Technologies' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bottomline Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Bottomline Technologies stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Bottomline Technologies Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Bottomline Technologies as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Bottomline Technologies' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Bottomline Technologies' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Bottomline Technologies.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the Bottomline Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bottomline Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Bottomline Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Bottomline Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Bottomline Technologies' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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