Pool Corporation Stock Volatility

POOL Stock  USD 393.09  2.03  0.52%   
Pool appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Pool maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.1, which implies the firm had 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards forecasting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Pool, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please evaluate Pool's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0636, coefficient of variation of 1113.81, and Semi Deviation of 1.48 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Pool's volatility include:
150 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
150 Days Economic Sensitivity
Pool Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Pool daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Pool's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Pool volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Pool can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Pool at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Pool stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Pool's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Pool Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Pool's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Pool stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Pool stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Pool's beta of 1.74 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Pool stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Pool Corporation has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.99 and kurtosis of 4.09. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Pool Corporation to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pool's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pool's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Pool Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Pool correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Pool Beta

Pool standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Pool's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Pool's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in pool stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Pool.

Using Pool Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Pool grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Pool at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Pool Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Pool's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Pool will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Pool's PUT expiring on 2024-03-15

       Pool Price At Expiration  

Current Pool Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
2024-03-15 PUT at $420.0-0.84710.009142024-03-1526.5 - 34.639.9View
2024-03-15 PUT at $410.0-0.7320.01212024-03-1519.6 - 26.039.7View
2024-03-15 PUT at $400.0-0.61450.0149452024-03-1514.3 - 15.919.0View
2024-03-15 PUT at $390.0-0.46260.0143492024-03-158.7 - 10.510.3View
2024-03-15 PUT at $380.0-0.32220.01294772024-03-154.9 - 7.46.05View
2024-03-15 PUT at $370.0-0.19450.0102632024-03-151.85 - 5.63.0View
2024-03-15 PUT at $360.0-0.12040.00694392024-03-150.85 - 6.11.78View
2024-03-15 PUT at $350.0-0.07750.00461252024-03-150.05 - 4.21.15View
2024-03-15 PUT at $340.0-0.04430.00282772024-03-150.35 - 0.91.6View
2024-03-15 PUT at $330.0-0.04160.0022772024-03-150.05 - 3.10.7View
2024-03-15 PUT at $320.0-0.06640.00237462024-03-150.3 - 3.10.25View
View All Pool Options

Pool Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Pool stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Pool's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Pool's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Pool's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Pool's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Pool's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Pool's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Pool's to be redeemed at a future date.
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Pool Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Pool Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7448 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Pool will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pool or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pool stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Pool is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
Pool's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how pool stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Pool Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:


Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Pool Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pool or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pool stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Pool is 964.32. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.11 and standard deviation of 2.03. The mean deviation of Pool Corporation is currently at 1.5. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite1.74
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.01

Pool Stock Return Volatility

Pool historical daily return volatility represents how much of Pool stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 2.0266% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6491% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.

About Pool Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Pool or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Pool may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Pool's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Pool and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Pool fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Market Capitalization13.6 B11.9 B
Pool's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Pool Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Pool's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Pool's volatility to invest better

Higher Pool's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Pool stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Pool stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Pool investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Pool's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Pool's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Pool Investment Opportunity

Pool Corporation has a volatility of 2.03 and is 3.12 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 17  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Pool. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Pool Corporation is lower than 17 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Pool Corporation to enhance the returns of your portfolios. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Pool to be traded at $432.4 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between Pool Corp. and NYA is 0.56 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Pool Corp. and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Pool Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pool's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pool's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Pool stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pool Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Pool as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Pool's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Pool's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Pool Corporation.
When determining whether Pool is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pool's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pool's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pool Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Pool Corporation. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Pool's price analysis, check to measure Pool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pool is operating at the current time. Most of Pool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pool's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pool. If investors know Pool will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of Pool is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pool that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.