Pool Corporation Stock Price Prediction

POOL Stock  USD 393.09  2.03  0.52%   
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Pool's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pool's stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought


Pool stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Pool shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Pool's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pool and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pool's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pool Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pool's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pool based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Pool stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pool over a specific investment horizon. Using Pool hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pool Corporation from the perspective of Pool response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pool using Pool's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pool using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pool's stock price.

Pool Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Pool's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Pool. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Pool stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Pool may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pool and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pool with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
4.3 M
50 Day MA

Pool Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pool's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pool. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pool can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pool Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pool's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pool.

Pool Implied Volatility

Pool's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pool Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pool's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pool stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pool's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Pool. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pool to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pool because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pool after-hype prediction price

  USD 390.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pool contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pool Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.95% per day over the life of the 2024-03-15 option contract. With Pool trading at USD 393.09, that is roughly USD 7.68 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pool's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pool Corporation options at the current volatility level of 31.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Pool Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pool's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pool in the context of predictive analytics.
13 Analysts
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pool. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pool's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pool's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pool.

Pool After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pool at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pool or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pool, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pool Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pool's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pool's historical news coverage. Pool's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 388.69 and 392.77, respectively. We have considered Pool's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
After-hype Price
Pool is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pool is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pool Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pool is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pool backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pool, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Pool Hype Timeline

Pool is at this time traded for 393.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.69 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Pool is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 390.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 62.08%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.18% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Pool is about 935.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 393.14. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.54 B. Net Income was 523.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.93 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Pool Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pool Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pool's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pool's future price movements. Getting to know how Pool rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pool may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
MMacys Inc 0.18 7 per month 1.84  0.10  3.78 (3.17) 26.91 
WWayfair 0.22 7 per month 3.42  0.04  9.34 (5.77) 20.42 
DIBS1StdibsCom(0.21)7 per month 2.57  0.04  5.68 (5.14) 15.21 
ANAutoNation(0.14)10 per month 1.89 (0) 3.59 (3.24) 11.27 
BQBoqii Holding Limited(0.08)2 per month 0.00 (0.20) 10.34 (10.81) 62.48 
FLFoot Locker(0.71)11 per month 2.35  0.14  7.05 (4.45) 21.80 
HDHome Depot 3.90 5 per month 0.50  0.16  2.01 (1.58) 5.22 
JDJD Inc Adr(0.53)6 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.56 (4.40) 12.08 
LELands End(0.13)12 per month 2.76  0.11  7.22 (5.10) 23.63 
LLLL Flooring Holdings(0.33)4 per month 0.00 (0.16) 6.31 (5.71) 19.08 

Pool Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pool price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pool using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pool charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pool Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pool stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pool Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pool based on analysis of Pool hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pool's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pool's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.091.10.991.08
Interest Coverage96.425.0722.5723.37

Story Coverage note for Pool

The number of cover stories for Pool depends on current market conditions and Pool's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pool is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pool's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pool Short Properties

Pool's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pool's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pool Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pool's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pool's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39 M
Dividends Paid-167.5 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate4.4
Shares Float37.2 M
When determining whether Pool is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pool's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pool's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pool Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pool Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Pool Stock analysis

When running Pool's price analysis, check to measure Pool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pool is operating at the current time. Most of Pool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pool's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pool. If investors know Pool will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of Pool is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pool that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.